Melbourne and Sydney house prices topple

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CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, which measures price changes across the five major capital cities, fell another 0.10% in the week ended 9 June – the fifth consecutive weekly decline:

Australian weekly house prices

Once again, the falls were driven by Sydney (-0.28%) and Melbourne (-0.13%), whereas prices rose across the other major capitals:

Weekly Australian house price changes
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Quarterly growth across the five major capitals has slowed to just 0.1%. Solid-to-strong price growth across Brisbane (4.4%), Adelaide (5.7%) and Perth (2.6%) have been offset by falls across Sydney (-1.7%) and Melbourne (-0.9%):

Quarterly Australian house price growth

Since peaking in February (Sydney) and April (Melbourne), dwelling values have fallen by 1.9% (Sydney) and 1.0% (Melbourne) respectively.

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Finally, since the beginning of 2022, dwelling values across the five major capitals have risen 1.4%. Again, solid-to-strong growth across Brisbane (9.6%), Adelaide (10.2%) and Perth (3.9%) have been offset by falls across Sydney (-1.2%) and Melbourne (-0.7%).

2022 Australian price growth

With the Reserve Bank now lifting interest rates aggressively, I am anticipating sharper price falls led by Sydney and Melbourne.

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How deep the correction goes will depend on how aggressively the Reserve Bank tightens. Pass the popcorn.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.