Australian mortgage demand collapses

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The Australian mortgage market tanked in April, according to new data released today by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

The total value of new mortgage commitments dived a seasonally adjusted 6.4% in April 2022, but were up 0.3% year-on-year:

Australian new mortgage commitments

Big fall in April.

Owner-occupier commitments tanked 7.3% in April, whereas investor commitments fell 4.8%.

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The next chart shows divergence across both categories. Investor mortgage commitments grew by 37.1% in the year to April, versus a 13.8% fall in annual owner-occupier mortgage commitments:

Annual mortgage growth

Owner-occupied mortgage demand crashing.

The recent surge in investor mortgage demand continues to crowd-out first home buyers (FHBs). FHB mortgages fell 6.2% in April and was down 29.7% year-on-year. FHB’s mortgage share has also fallen to 15.2% – well below the pandemic peak – as the investor share has rocketed:

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FHBs versus investors
FHB mortgage share versus investors

Looking ahead, mortgage demand should fall sharply as interest rates rise.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.