Roy Morgan polling has identified the precise time when female voters began to switch away from Prime Minister Scott Morrison, with Roy Morgan tracking male and female two-party-preferred outcomes. The switch happened in February 2021, when Brittany Higgins went public about her ordeal and treatment by the Coalition government.
While there has been a slight narrowing in the gap during the election campaign, Roy Morgan’s polling is still showing a 16% lead for Labor on a two-party-preferred basis among women, compared to just 2% for men.
Morrison’s comprehensive bungling of the Higgins matter — will we ever find out who in his office was briefing against her partner, or will that inquiry vanish with Phil Gaetjens? — and the astonishing failure of both he and Christian Porter to properly deal with historical allegations of rape made against the latter (which Porter denies) drove female voters en masse from the Coalition.
The reemergence of the alleged disgusting treatment of Rachelle Miller during the campaign — with Morrison confirming the invisible Alan Tudge would return as education minister after the election despite an alleged huge payout to Miller — will only serve to reinforce the view that Morrison has a profoundly troubling view of women and their right to workplace safety.
The below charts from Roy Morgan illustrate the situation.
The Coalition is only trailing slightly among male voters:
But they trail big time among female voters:
Thank goodness for the female voters of Australia. The corrupt Coalition must be booted out of office.
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also Chief Economist and co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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