Sydney’s sick auction market a harbinger for house price falls

CoreLogic has released its final auction results for last weekend with the nation’s clearance rate falling to 60.1% – the lowest level since August 2021.

The decline in the nation’s clearance rate was driven by Sydney, which fell to only 53.8% – the lowest reading in more than two years.

National auction results

According to CoreLogic:

The busiest auction week since the pre-Easter seasonal spike, 2,879 homes were auctioned across the combined capitals last week, up 39.8% from the 2,059 auctions held the week prior. With 60.1% of auctions held returning a successful result, last week’s clearance rate is the lowest capital city clearance rate recorded since late August 2021…

Sydney’s clearance rate continued to fall last week, down 1.4 percentage points to 53.8% – Sydney’s lowest clearance rate since Late April 2020 amid the first COVID outbreak… The previous week saw 55.3% of auctions return a successful result while this time last year 78.9% of auctions held were successful.

Sydney’s auction clearance rate has historically been a good leading indicator of price growth, as illustrated clearly in the next chart:

Sydney auction clearances versus prices

Therefore, the sharp decline in Sydney’s auction clearance rate signals for falls for house prices.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. DingwallMEMBER

    I have the popcorn ready ………. need to see fire’s glow from Brisbane though

  2. With construction costs rising so quickly, the land value of most properties is falling much faster than completed house prices.

    Most wannabe developers sitting on a duplex site or small subdivision site, haven’t taken the pain yet.

    A whole lot of knock down and rebuild mum and dad developers will take it in the trousers soon.