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Roy Morgan’s last opinion poll before this weekend’s federal shows that Labor is poised to take government with a swing of 4.5%, However, the race has tightened:
The ALP’s lead over the L-NP has been cut to 6% points as early voting began last week but it still holds a clear election winning lead before this week’s Federal Election: ALP 53% (down 1.5% points in a week) ahead of the L-NP 47% (up 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis.
Preferences of minor party voters have been allocated based on preference flows at the 2019 Federal Election according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll conducted from May 9-15, 2022.
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
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