Auction market plumbs new 2022 low

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CoreLogic has reported the lowest preliminary auction clearance rate in 2022; albeit based on volumes that we 41% lower due to the federal election.

The national preliminary clearance rate slid to 62.9%, down from from last week’s preliminary result of 64.6%, which was revised to 60.1% at final figures. In the same weekend last year, 75.6% of auctions cleared.

Australian final auction clearance rate

Melbourne’s preliminary clearance rate (61.9%) overtook the week prior as Melbourne’s lowest preliminary clearance rate of the year. Last week’s preliminary clearance rate of 64.0% was revised down to 60.5% at final numbers, while 74.9% of auctions held this time last year were successful.

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Sydney’s preliminary clearance rate rose marginally to 61.7%, up from 61.1% the weekend before, which was later revised down to 53.8%. Sydney’s preliminary clearance rate rose, with 61.7% of auction reporting a successful result. This week’s result is up 60 basis points from the week prior when a preliminary clearance rate of 61.1%, later revised to 53.8%, was recorded.

Preliminary auction clearance rates

The weakening auction results across Sydney and Melbourne are a bearish indicator for both markets, given the historically strong correlation between auction clearances and dwelling value growth.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.