Chinese economy lands hard upon Xi Jinping

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The Chinese economic hard landing continues apace with economic activity hit across the spectrum. Credit Agricole:

Q1GDP growth may edge up but with a notable sequential slowdown

We expect Q1 GDP growth to be4.3% YoY, slightly higher than 4.0% in Q421, but in %QoQ saar terms, it could decline to 2.4% from 6.6% previously. Moreover, economic activity growth in March has likely slowed quite significantly from the remarkably strong January-February. More specifically, the % YoY value added growth of the secondary industry may have strengthened in Q1, but that of the services sectors could decelerate notably, due to the Covid disruptions in March.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.