Stocks party into recession!

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Never underestimate the equity market’s capacity for blind bullishness. Especially these days when robots have turned reflexivity systematic.

Even permabullish Goldman is baffled by today’s excitement:

Last week’s DM composite flash PMI increased by 1.4pt in March, reflecting an expansion in services (+1.6pt) from the further easing of Omicron restrictions – however, forward-looking components declined sharply. Also, uncertainty around the Russia/Ukraine war drove the Germany’s Ifo business climate index well below consensus.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.