According to the latest Roy Morgan polling on federal voting intentions, Labor is headed for a landslide election win, leading 56% to the Coalition’s 44% on a two-party preferred basis:
The latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted as the Russian war on Ukraine enters its third week and the increase in energy prices caused by the war has now led to significant increases in petrol prices around Australia to record highs above $2 per litre.
Analysis by State shows small movements with support for the L-NP up slightly in Victoria, Queensland and Tasmania while support for the ALP increased in NSW, Western Australia and South Australia…
ALP leads L-NP by 3.5% points on primary vote as petrol prices spikes above $2 per litre… Support for the Greens was unchanged at 11.5%. However, the primary support for the Greens always ends up lower at the Federal Election as the party does not have people handing out ‘how-to-vote’ cards at all the booths – particularly in rural and regional areas of Australia.
Support for One Nation was down 0.5% points at 3%, while support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was unchanged at 1%. Support for Other Parties was unchanged at 3.5% while support for Independents increased 1.5% points to 10.5%…
Voting Intention by State shows the ALP leading in five States, behind only in Queensland…
Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says:
“The ALP’s lead has held up during the last few months despite the geo-political tensions surrounding Russia’s invasion of Ukraine which would usually lead to an increase in support for the incumbent Government. As it is the ALP’s lead is unchanged since mid-January”…
Not even a war can save the Morrison Government. Prime Minister Scott Morrison might as well call the removalists to the Lodge and Kirribilli. He is dead Prime Minister walking.
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
