Roy Morgan’s latest polling, taken between 14 and 20 March, shows Labor stretching its lead, ahead 58% to 42% on a two-party preferred basis on the back of cost-of-living concerns:
A Roy Morgan Poll conducted over the last week shows the ALP has increased its lead over the L-NP to its largest during the current term of the Morrison Government with the ALP 58% (up 2% points from a week ago) now even further ahead of the L-NP 42% (down 2%) points) on a two-party preferred basis.
The latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted as the Russian war on Ukraine entered its fourth week and the increase in energy prices caused by the war has increasingly led to soaring petrol prices around Australia well above $2 per litre.
Analysis by State shows the ALP gaining support in New South Wales, Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia while L-NP support increased in Tasmania and Queensland…
ALP leads L-NP by 6.5% points on primary vote as petrol prices spike well above $2 per litre
Primary support for the ALP increased 0.5% points to 37.5% in mid-March as petrol prices in Australia hit record highs above $2 per litre. The ALP is now a large 6.5% points ahead of the L-NP, down 2.5% points to 31%. Support for the Greens was up 0.5% points at 12%.
Support for One Nation was unchanged at 3%, while support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was unchanged at 1%. Support for Other Parties increased by 1.5% points to 5% while support for Independents was unchanged at 10.5%.
Voting Intention by State shows the ALP leading in five States, behind only in Queensland
Voting analysis by State shows the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in five States, with the LNP enjoying a slight advantage in Queensland – easily their strongest state from the last Election…
Roy Morgan Government Confidence dropped 5pts to 83 in mid-March
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 5pts to 83 in mid-March. Now just a third of Australians, 33.5% (down 3.5% points) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 50.5% (up 1.5% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’…
The upcoming federal election is shaping up as a massacre for the Coalition, which has been in freefall since the Delta waves hit NSW and Victoria mid-last year.
Scott Morrison might as well book the removalists now, because he’s dead Prime Minister walking.
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.
