Aussie excess deaths fall over pandemic

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Australia has recorded 4,201 deaths from COVID-19 since the pandemic began. However, it is estimated that the nation has recorded 12,881 fewer deaths from all causes over the last two years than would normally have occurred:

Excess COVID-19 deaths is the difference between the total reported number of deaths since January 1, 2020 and the projected number of deaths for the same period based on previous years. It is seen as the primary measure of the effectiveness of a country’s pandemic response.

Based on projected COVID-19 fatalities by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at Washington University in Seattle, and Australian Bureau of Statistics fatality data from October last year, Australia is sitting on a negative excess death rate from the pandemic of about minus 496 deaths per million people.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.