Labor extends crushing election lead over Coalition

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Labor has extended its crushing election winning lead, polling 56% of the two-party preferred vote (up 0.5% point since December) versus the Coalition’s 44% (down 0.5% point), according to Roy Morgan Research:

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by Malcolm Fraser at the 1975 Federal Election (L-NCP 55.7% cf. ALP 44.3%).

Primary Voting Intention shows support for the ALP holding 2.5% points lead over the L-NP

Primary support for the major parties was unchanged in January with the ALP attracting the support of 37% of electors ahead of the L-NP on 34.5%. Support for the Greens was up 0.5% points to 12%.

Voting Intention by State shows the ALP leading in all States – except Queensland

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.