Wall Street gets more bullish and more bearish

Advertisement

Volatility in the Wall Street houses is rising as it is on markets. Most are still bullish on good growth and margins. Goldman is typical:

The recent ‘risk-off’ in markets has come alongside sharp unwinds of bullish investor positioning: our aggregate sentiment measure has fallen below the 50thpercentile for the first time since the Coronacrisis and our Risk Appetite Indicator(GSRAII) fell sharply into negative territory, reaching -1.2 at the trough earlier this week.

While positioning has likely exacerbated the recent moves, including the recent reversal, we think macro conditions will be the key market drivers from here. With both monetary and fiscal support fading, better newsflow on the Omicronand continued healthy growth levels are needed to support investor sentiment from here.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.