Victoria’s COVID cases ratchet back up

Victoria has recorded 1362 new COVID cases and seven deaths:

By comparison, NSW recorded only 261 new COVID cases and zero deaths:

Victoria’s daily cases have broken higher, recording the highest daily figure for around a month:

Active cases have also risen:

And hospital admissions have ticked higher:

The divergence between Victoria and NSW remains stark, despite similar levels of vaccination.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. reusachtigeMEMBER

    Melbourne is a very sick place. They have gone full retard in many ways. It was bad before but now it would be absolute hell down there. I hope the freedom fighters eventually take it back, by force if need be. Hopefully they hit the million fighters at the next rally doubling the half a mill last weekend!

        • I counted that very clip myself when my right-wing mates tried to convince me it was half a mill, and I give it 30-40k in that video. Sent a lot of the below to shut them up up. Be honest and count in a hundred people as they walk past. Then do that with a thousand people and you’ll quickly see you’re way off. It obviously doesn’t have everyone who went in the video at the time or over the course of the day but that’s around the peak.
          And just to ram the point home. There are around 6.81 million Victorians. Let’s accept that 95+% of those attending are adults. For there to be half a million supposedly attending, around 1 in 11 *Victorian* adults will have to have been at that protest coz around 20% of the population are under 18 years old (negligible amount of travellers in there obviously). 1 in 11! Yeh right. Lol take out the many elderly who don’t leave their homes and die-hard Labor voters and the claim looks even more ridiculous.

          There was 100-300k at the renowned Iraq war protest and that was MUCH bigger. The city was actually packed across many, many streets.

  2. Try to plot the daily average temperature of sydney and melbourne overlay the case number. it may tell some interesting story

    • I suspect your’re right to an extent, but I also think it has to be a mutlivariate thing. There must be aspects of the population density, the makeup of the society (ethnicity, religious, whatever) and their associated behaviour, the layout of the city, the use of public transport….etc etc.

      There’s a raft of PhD’s that will awarded for studying this stuff.

    • TheLambKingMEMBER

      Try to plot the daily average temperature of sydney and melbourne overlay the case number. it may tell some interesting story

      Overlay the numbers at the FreeDumb rallies as well.

      • Yes, the most obvious difference between the two cities is the FreeDumb rallies. This isn’t over by a long shot – the gym membership is going to have to go after all.

    • The situation in Zululand with the Nu variant is developing very fast……initial impression is that R nought will be nearer measles than Delta variant…….32 mutations

      https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1463956686075580421

      UK has already red lighted flights from SA and we need to get our quarantine back up to standard as well since it has already shown in Hong Kong…….probably already well spread

      • PalimpsestMEMBER

        Oh bother! I made a comment on another post wondering just how infectious it would turn out to be. This is not the answer that I was looking for. Everyone will be watching it now. It’s an example of how maintaining the Government funding for the UQ clamp technology might have been a critical security issue for Australia if it had been supported. This variant may well invalidate ‘natural’ as well as Vax immunity and that would be a big set back. I was hoping we had more time to recover before the next wave. Given that it seems to replicate faster inside the body, there’s a chance of higher morbidity and mortality too.

        It looks like we’ll see more about it. Key points to look for are the effects on inflammation, blood clotting issues, and the effect on heart and pancreas. Delta observations from India on aggravation of existing Diabetes and creation of new Diabetes cases is intriguing for the long term impacts on Health costs.
        What might that mean for investors – reduce weighting on aged care, and increase weighting for Private Medical services? It didn’t work out so well last Delta wave. Under weight bonds perhaps – but what about shares, or rental properties. I would love to hear informed comment (noting that this hasn’t turned into a ‘real’ event yet).

    • The Grey RiderMEMBER

      People are deluding themselves if they think we are going back to normal, including open borders, travel, etc.
      Oh well, whatever hopium gets them through…bidding up house prices seems to be drug of choice atm.

      • Yes. Many folks in Melbourne are acting like this is all over. We are still getting circa 1200 cases a day but removing all the restrictions. Vaxes are a good and useful tool, but they are not an invincible solution. We still need to have some distancing, capacity limits (and yes, masks in certain situations). But it party like it’s 2018 at present. I suspect things will be fairly awful by the time May 2022 rolls around.

      • The Grey RiderMEMBER

        A person may well ask the question how do you provide plausible cover to walk away from vaccines that you have championed as the path to “freedom” now that the pretense of efficacy in preventing outbreaks is slowly being stripped away in the face of high vaccination rates across various countries, so that the general population doesn’t become extremely hacked off about the last 2 years and decide to get all uppity?…have a new strain that the vaccines are useless against. Rinse and repeat.

        2022 is going to be a very interesting year.

  3. Mike Herman TroutMEMBER

    So more lockdowns combined with supportive monetary policy sounds like the recipe for ever increasing inflation…. to be a central banker right now…. rock continue to get to know hard place….

    • PalimpsestMEMBER

      But is it? I’m genuinely wondering. Supportive monetary policy if it ends up in property – yes. But what if it suppresses demand as the general population finds employment conditions and pay drop again. Lots can work from home, but not anyone doing a job that’s genuinely productive for the economy or BOP – manufacturing, food & agriculture, tourism, yes even mining. Monetary support in a deflating (or collapsing) economy isn’t inflationary at all in the short to medium term. Still it does support the property bubble.

      • Mike Herman TroutMEMBER

        I was thinking in terms of what we have seen so far…. government handouts to assist people in lockdown and lockdowns themselves impacting supply chains…. more money chasing fewer goods… inflation increasing with central banks trapped…. but who really knows….