Infrastructure Victoria has warned that Melbourne faces growing congestion problems over coming decades as residents flock to outer suburban areas and regions like Geelong:
Infrastructure Victoria has predicted that key roads and public transport will be clogged earlier during the morning commute to the city after people moved to outer suburbs and regional areas during the pandemic.
Its research found that under the most likely scenario, a third of workers would work remotely two to three days a week by 2036.
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It also found Melbourne’s booming growth suburbs at the city’s edge would be filled by more people, and regional centres such as Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo would see population shifts to the fringes.
Gridlock will develop during the morning peak more quickly, with 2100 more vehicles on key roads such as the Princes, Western and Calder freeways, it found…
Congestion will begin further out than it did before the pandemic as a higher number of work trips start from Melbourne’s outskirts.
Journeys starting in the city’s outer suburbs will become 4 per cent longer than before people were working from home…
Urgent rail improvements include electrifying the Wyndham Vale line, more stations along the Melton corridor and a business case to expand from Sunshine to Rockbank.
A trial where motorists pay congestion charges in Melbourne’s inner city during peak periods should be introduced within five years, it said…
Even if a moderate amount of Victorians choose to work from home, trips into the city will be 36 per cent higher in 15 years than they were in 2018.
Let’s get real for a moment. Melbourne’s congestion problems will be caused by one thing only: rapid population growth caused by excessive levels of immigration.
According to Infrastructure Victoria’s 30-year blueprint, released in August, the state’s population will grow from around 6.6 million currently to 10.8 million by 2051, and the population of Melbourne’s ‘fringe’ suburbs will increase by over 900,000 people over that time:
Infrastructure Victoria’s 30-year blueprint says the state’s population will be 10.8 million by 2051, up from about 6.6 million today…
Lagging infrastructure in the state’s growth areas – Cardinia, Casey, Hume, Melton, Mitchell, Whittlesea and Wyndham – has left residents with “inequitable” access to jobs and public transport, the adviser warns…
But these areas, which had a combined population of 223,000 in 2018, will be home to an extra 930,000 people by 2036. Their growth represents 40 per cent of all growth in the state. Melbourne’s outer-northern and western suburbs are expected to attract more than 800,000 new residents over the next 30 years.
Let’s remember that Infrastructure Australia has already modelled the outcomes for Melbourne as its population surges to a projected 7.3 million by 2048 under three development scenarios, namely:
- Expanded Low density: 60% of development to take place in existing urban areas;
- Rebalanced Medium density: 70% of development to take place in existing urban areas; and
- Centralised High density: 80% of development to take place in existing urban areas.
Under every single development scenario, liveability in Melbourne is projected to deteriorate, with increased congestion and commute times, as well as reduced access to jobs, schools, hospitals and green space:
Instead of addressing the population problem at its source, Infrastructure Victoria instead recommends more infrastructure investment, alongside sweeping changes to the way we are charged to use road and rail, in order to ‘manage’ demand.
The obvious question arises: given the dire forecasts for Melbourne’s liveability, why hasn’t Infrastructure Victoria recommended the state take in less migrants in the future to ease these population pressures?
The answer is obvious: Infrastructure Victoria’s board is stacked with big business representatives, which privatise the gain from having more people via expanding their domestic markets and lowering wage costs:
Michel (Masson) started his career at Deloitte before joining the Bollore Group where he held various senior finance positions in the transport and logistics division in the UK, Australia and New Zealand. In 2005 he joined Keolis as head of Finance and Operations for the International Division where he was responsible for leading public transport operations in seven countries and held various non-executive director positions in UK and German rail franchises.
“Jim Miller chairs the Infrastructure Victoria board. He is also Vice Chair at J.P. Morgan, an Advisory Board Member at Infrastructure Partnerships Australia and Director at Household Capital…Jim was an Executive Director at Macquarie Capital from 1994-2015…”
“Maria Wilton’s experience in the investment industry spans thirty years. Maria is a member of the global Board of Governors of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) Institute…”
“Ann (Sherry) is one of Australia’s leading business executives with a career that spans Government, Banking and…”
Infrastructure Victoria is like a meeting place for the very people who represent the champions of mass immigration and over-development.
It does not represent the interests of ordinary residents.