Australian dollar teeters at cliff as ASX tanks

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The Australian dollar is sitting right on vital support as markets digest Omicron. So far it has held but a break of support here opens big downside potential:

The ASX200 has gapped 1.2% at the open but is being aided by firm American futures:

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Yields are rising as risk diminishes. Markets have this completely backwards. The only thing that could lift Aussie inflation is virus shuttered borders! Reopening equals wages crushed:

Big banks have been caned. I put it to you that there is more going on here than Omicron. It’s a regime change as markets awaken to zero bound profit squeezes:

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Big iron is fine, stupidly so given the outlook is still disastrous:

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The Omicron panic is already easing, as it should. Markets overreacted Friday.

That said, the lesson is that all markets are super-pumped long and any disturbance to everything being all good will be greeted by a violent puke.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.