NSW Government: We need “‘explosive” surge of 2 million migrants

An incoming premier brief from top bureaucrats within the NSW Department of Premier and Cabinet have told Premier Dominic Perrottet that Australia needs an explosive surge of 2 million migrants to boost the economy:

Top bureaucrats last week urged Mr Perrottet to seize the national leadership initiative by pushing a “national dialogue on an aggressive resumption of immigration levels as a key means of economic recovery and post-pandemic growth”.

“An ambitious national immigration plan similar to Australia’s post-World War II approach would ensure Australia would benefit from skills, investment and population growth,” Mr Perrottet was told in the advice, which was seen by The Australian Financial Review…

In a sign the new Premier is taking the advice seriously, Mr Perrottet on Monday said the borders need to be opened up amid a “general labour” shortage to ensure a healthy economic recovery.

“If we lose this opportunity, those skilled migrants will go to other countries,” he said. “We won’t get those engineers, those accountants, they’ll commit to other projects”…

Mr Perrottet was told that a “time-limited” immigration surge could include a “doubling” of pre-COVID immigration levels for the next five years and “unashamedly” focusing on “the skilled migration we need to develop key industry sectors”…

A doubling of that pre-pandemic rate would see net migration leap to more than 400,000 a year, a staggering surge that would see the population swell by 2 million by 2026.

Infrastructure Australia has already modelled what will happen to Sydney as its population balloons via mass immigration: living standards will be destroyed with residents forced to endure longer commutes, while having less access to jobs, schools, hospitals and green space:

Sydney population projections

Infrastructure Australia Modelling: Sydney’s living standards will be destroyed by mass immigration.

Sydney’s residents will also be forced to live in highrise apartments, according to modelling by the Urban Taskforce:

Sydney dwelling composition

Urban Taskforce: Half of Sydney’s future residents will live in apartments.

That’s the death of the Australian Dream right there.

Former Treasurer Wayne Swann makes the crushing point with respect to this plan:

Will there be matching infrastructure, improved labour and environmental laws? We all know the answer to that.

We also know that the pre-COVID immigration boom was an unmitigated disaster for Australian workers:

Real household disposable income

The only parties to benefit from this mass immigration madness are wealthy capital owners and the ‘growth lobby’ cabal of Big Property, Big Retail and Big Banking.

Sadly, in the morally corrupt property narco nation of Australia, they pull the policy strings.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. Well could see logic that coming. Need a Surge
    Miss 2 years of immigration so better have a surge of double !
    Finally some rental customers for apartment developments before that balloon deflates.
    All those empty apartments with high prices hanging on until immigration is back.

  2. Display NameMEMBER

    At a time when effective (real) unemployment is well north of 10%. 15% by Alan Kohlers guess. This will drive down living standards for most people and enrich a very few. A morally bankrupt bunch of c **ts

    • Yes, in other countries they say some people are reluctant to return to work until they are satisfied there is a low risk of getting covid (yes Reusa there really are people like that!) & others who can’t as they lack child care etc presently. So given time a lot of those people will come back, it’ll happen even quicker with some positive measures to encourage.

  3. Im seeing one big massive ‘National Security Issue’ here. Im also seeing Canberra being overthrown by Migrants at some point to the detriment of all of Australia.

    If this is true, then Queensland better start making its plans to abandon the Federation. Maybe its time Queensland starts building its own Security against NSW.

  4. Jumping jack flash

    Scomo seems hell bent on ruining this country.

    We’re facing an enormous wave of global price inflation as a result of COVID stimulus, (and thanks once again to Scomo we largely missed out on), inflation which is absolutely required so people can eventually obtain more debt since interest rates are bottomed out, and here is Scomo, like a blithering fool, suppressing any chance that we can go into this global price inflation storm with any potential for higher wages to weather it out.

    The guy has absolutely no idea what he’s doing! And I’d wager there wouldn’t be any in the big house on the hill that would know much better.

    • Yeh they stuffed it big time and they’re just doing what they have done in the past, no change to strategy. This time using a larger pool of money to buy votes.

      But with all this inflation, the RBA need to step in and do their job of raising the rate instead of moving the goal posts and releasing endless articles and speeches to justify in not doing it.

      • Jumping jack flash

        Rates certainly will rise and it is an embarrassment for the banks they are so low. But rates will only rise after wages have risen enough. This has been made abundantly clear.

        My fear is because other countries are way ahead of us in the cycle and driving this inflation that will eventually raise wages and allow for rate increases, that at that point Australia will still be floundering away trying to cope with paying everyone else’s higher prices when those rate rises hit…

    • Jumping jack flash

      Itd be ok if these skilled workers were paid enough to be eligible for debt and make a meaningful contribution to consumption and the economy, but they cant because they are here as slaves to steal wages from.

      • Yeah, this is the problem most really are not skilled workers. Take the “accountants” Perrotett mentioned, they have had an excess of them for years given the number of applications per job ad, as previously shown by MB. Same with a lot of engineers, though he didn’t say what sort of engineers.

  5. Seems like taking this to the electorate (as opposed to sneaking it past Howard style) would be a recipe for ballot box oblivion.
    Or it’s a balloon that can get shot down to make the intended number sound far more reasonable than it really is.

    • And what they’ll hear, is if it’s not done their house values will drop considerably ! Then it’ll be zero fvcks given.
      The only thing that will cure this is a massive financial and credit event that takes the floor out from under us.
      We won’t do it ourselves

  6. NelsonMuntzMEMBER

    When I see Dominic Perrottet, I always think I am watching a UK political crime thriller, and at some point this fictional character is going to be revealed as the surprise guilty murderer in some sordid religous pedo abuse ring. (Think I need to cut back on my Netflix/iview binge watching)

  7. Serious question. Early 50’s, pretty well set up and trying to plan out life from here on as the great Australian dream we were promised in school is a crock of sh!t.
    Where in the world should we:
    A) consider moving to?
    B) consider making a ‘second’ home?

    Any thoughts would be appreciated.

  8. Reus's large MEMBER

    Well done all you lot that rushed out to get vaxed for something that is just a bad flu, now we are going to have record numbers of low quality 3rd world immigrants pouring into the country.

    • Thats right, we struggle with our options to have any meanigful impact, not getting vaccinated was the one and only FU to the politicians to hold back the tidal wave of migration. But the price of restrictions to a local park was too great to pay to keep Australia, Australian.

    • Well they did have a gun to people’s heads. They would open the borders whether you were or not; and if you aren’t then you are in trouble at this point.

      There’s no coincidence that when they announced open borders days in a NSW press conference two months ago the appointments on the booking website completely were cleared. I logged in; I saw all the bookings disappear at that point for a whole month.

  9. “…by pushing a ‘national dialogue’…”

    What?!?!!? They’re going to ask?!?! LOLOLOL! First time for everything eh?

    And so when we’ve imported another 2 mil bidders in a couple of years….what then? Go to zero? HAHAHAHA!!!! No that will be the crash. We will need to INCREASE IT AGAIN to prevent a crash.

    This is now completely out of control. It’s beyond a joke. This is a national emergency.

    • It’s a dialogue in the same sense of the word that the Punch and Judy Show is a dialogue. It’s scripted, performative and creates the illusion of crowd participation.

  10. That’s the death of the Australian Dream right there.
    It’s strange, you guys hate Keating but share so many of his world views, starting with
    If you don’t live in Sydney, you’re just camping out”
    Maybe there are NSW residents that disagree with PK, maybe there are some that even choose to live in some part of the state other than Sydney.
    Trust me on this there’s a lot more to NSW than just the Sydney basin. You certainly wouldn’t know it from an employment perspective and nobody that has endured our Regional / Rural schools would ever suggest that Educational outcomes are better outside of Sydney BUT you know what, that’s something that any willing NSW government can easily fix.
    First part of the fix starts with abandoning PK’s Sydney centric world view.
    Second part creating real jobs supporting real industries (hint rescind the corrupt container port agreement which prevents Newcastle from becoming container ship handling facility)
    Third part: support regional LGA’s to grow their facilities capabilities to enable decentralization.
    After that it’s likely that Sydneysiders will start to willingly leave and embrace a lifestyle superior to that of their parents.
    Lots of choices, but they all begin with us forgetting PK’s view
    “If you don’t live in Sydney, you’re just camping out”

    • “It’s strange, you guys hate Keating but share so many of his world views, starting with”…

      What are you talking about? This article is about Sydney because Dom Perrottet is NSW’s Premier and wants to ramp-up immigration, which will destroy Sydney.

      If anything, I write more about Melbourne. Both major cities take more than two-thirds of NOM. Hence, they are disproportionately impacted by this policy madness.

      • Way to miss the point.
        Sydney Melbourne wtf same same
        I’m not completely against immigration nor am I against the Sydney High rise trend, for me it all comes down to delivering what people actually want. If it is to live in an Apartment with “vibrant” night life right outside their door than that’s their choice and their life optimization. But it is only an choice if viable alternatives exist. I want a NSW government that’s committed to developing other areas of the state and overcoming the obstacles with the same vigor as they’ve tackled NSW toll roads.
        There’s no valid reason that Newcastle can’t grow to support 1M people, Port Mac could easily grow to support 1M and the same for Coffs , Byron, Batemans Bay and say Nowra. Build this infrastructure and suddenly the people of NSW have real world choices.
        Today their only real choice is the size of dog box they want to own/ rent

        • Yeah, way to miss the point. You accuse me of sharing Paul Keating’s views and then babble on with a bunch of non-related stuff.

          All I have done, continuously, is highlight how the existing policy settings are destroying Australian’s quality of life and are retrograde.

          I’m not completely against immigration – as stated repeatedly. But I am against mass immigration.

          I’m also sure that residents in Port Macquarie, Coffs, etc don’t want to grow to 1 million people. Why import millions of people to do so?

        • Port Mac resident here – yeah, nah. We are straining with our current population of 80,000 (2016 census).

          The housing and infrastructure requirements to accommodate 1M people here would be an unmitigated social and environmental disaster.

          Decentralisation doesn’t have to be about building new cities to accommodate more people. If anything, COVID lockdowns have shown that fast internet in the regions is probably just as good and gives people choice. We get FTTH in Port and the amount of people moving here (or wanting to move here) from capital cities who still have employment is mind blowing.

          Technology should enable people to live in the regions if they want to. Small commercial hubs in key regional towns like Wollongong, Newcastle, Port, Coffs can be built where people who live near those areas can come in and collaborate and network if required combined with WFH. Infrequent trips into the capital cities are very doable if needed.

          People who want to live in an apartment with vibrant nightlife can chose to live in the city and work in the CBD. If later in life, they want to live in the regions there’s no reason technology shouldn’t enable them to do that without affecting their work.

          Build the NBN as it was intended (plus incoming 5G) and you could see that extrapolated all over the country.

          • I agree, there are no towns in Australia with anything like the infrastructure to handle serious growth.
            They all lack water/sewer /electricity and road infrastructure. They all lack sufficient schools, office space, factory space ….the list goes on and on, so every year more kids flood into Sydney from Regional NSW and every Migrant takes on look at regional NSW before speeding back to Sydney. Therein lies the heart of our housing affordability problem the lack of development happening outside of Sydney.
            Now I don’t want Port to become a 1M person city anymore than you do but that does not excuse our governments from providing Sydney class infrastructure to regional NSW.

          • ConcernedResident

            Port Mac resident here too. So far, my experience is the huge rate of internal migration in our direction in recent years is likely linked to the drop in living standards in Sydney. So first order effects of 400,000 people per year is huge infrastructure investment required in Sydney, second order effect is investment in cities across NSW to cope with the outflow. If you need to work while in town @Unconvential Economist check out The Hub Co-Working Centre at Charles Sturt University!

          • @ConcernedResident – Correct! I came here 4 years ago – work for a state government agency. I was originally offered the equivalent of my role in Sydney and it just so happened that this one came up at the same time, so I asked to move up here instead. The missus and I couldn’t wait to get out of Sydney with our young fella.

            Before last year, I never thought we would buy a house here as the job opportunities for what I do are few and far between. That all changed with COVID. Even though my work is 10 minutes from home, I was pretty much doing it all at home for the most part with no change in productivity (if anything, I felt I was getting more done).

            That made me realise that I could do the same thing if the job was based in any other capital city, so when our landlords told us they were selling up, we bought the place.

            Lots of people apparently have the same idea. It’s going to get pretty crowded at Christmas.

          • ConcernedResident

            Yep, it’s definitely going to get busy/challenging around here! I relocated without work about 6 years back, chanced it into a major local employer. Was lucky enough to buy an unloved 50 acre block a few years back, which we’re hoping to build on in the next year. The local sentiment is quickly becoming “we’re full”, which is getting unruly at times on social media! Unfortunately rentals appear to be extremely hard to get after the extreme floods, and sales listings have been incredibly low (sellers are holding off due to the fear of not getting back in = FINGBI), speculative cash has been bidding up existing houses for years, and local builders are booked out. There aren’t a lot of options. Hopefully some of the relocators that will relocate to the region in December will liquidate their residence elsewhere.

          • @CR I’m glad to hear that things are working out for you in Port.
            Let me tell you my experience
            Initially everyone is very welcoming while you’re sort of seen a fresh cash injection to the region but quickly the locals become hostile because you’re taking jobs.
            There is absolutely no concept in these parts that jobs are just a function of people, more people = more jobs
            Trust me on this score I know what I’m talking about Jobs in Port (I mean good jobs in Port) are all either directly or indirectly a function of Government…and the government only creates a certain number of jobs which logically belong to the locals not blow-ins like yourself.
            It’s wrong, so wrong but it is the real way that regional nsw feels about regional jobs.
            And who can blame them, this is their lived experience, all the best paying jobs are somehow government funded. Ask anyone that was involved with the now infamous Wagga wagga Arts center, or better still (that Clay target shooting association with the 1000 person Conference center ) These projects were good jobs and locals had a big payday.
            After a few years the sideways looks and the hatred gets old…welcome to Regional NSW.

          • Huh, You want me to explain an Australian govt policy that I’m clearly against!
            Sorry I have no idea why this policy exists, I imagine it’s largely historical (it was a good idea at some point in time) but like all “good ideas” it’s up to each generation to figure out where the broom is and sweep these “good ideas” away.

        • No way you can fit 1M into Byron LGA unless you want to wreck a bunch of big scrub, rainforest or agricultural land. Good luck with that.

          Would love more ratepayers for better roads but

  11. ” “We won’t get those engineers, those accountants, they’ll commit to other projects””

    Hey Dom, guess what, Australia already has more Engineers and Accountants than it knows what to do with… literally hundreds of applicants for every role posted online… yet we should import more? why? oh yeah, WAGE SUPPRESSION to help boost the profits of your party’s largest donors!! Fk off

  12. Quiet AustralianMEMBER

    Good work as always LVO. I’m wondering if you have heard of plans to build 4 incinerators in regional NSW to help out Sydney with their soon to be overflowing landfills. “In 2018 the independent planning commission rejected a proposal to build a waste incinerator in Western Sydney citing uncertainty over the plants impact on the environment and public health”. Apparently these concerns don’t apply in regional areas. Some worry that these plants concentrate rather than eliminate toxins, that toxins inevitably leech into the environment, and that these types of toxins tend to find their way into the fat of grazing animals. Some worry that the incinerator locations chosen happen to be food bowl locations. Throw another dioxin shrimp on the barbie hey?

    • True!! they are springing up here in Perth too…note however they have dropped the term ‘incinerator’… to keep the Green image they now call them ‘Waste to Energy’ facilities. Rambol i think is building the one just south of Perth.

      The tech is actually getting pretty good. the type they built right in the heart of Copenhagen Denmark has virtually all its harmful exhaust gases scrubbed and removed. They can build them now so they essentially only emit fresh air and electricity . All the nasties drop out as briquettes.

  13. https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/economics/article/3151634/evergrande-sinic-fantasia-tidal-wave-chinese-debt-about-sink

    I’m starting too seriously think of getting out of Australia.
    China is going to cause substantial economic pain. In its eyes, it has no choice but to make an example of Australia. On top of that, China will simply require less steel anyway – but will make a high profile case out of Australia.
    If that wasn’t enough, then more mass immigration will further erode living standards and accelerate our progression into the economic basket cases these people emigrated from.

    The question is where to
    Europe has significant demographic problems with old populations and their own migration issues. Plus Russia is watching to see exactly what China can get away with.
    USA at least will never come under direct military threat from China. Avoid the cities, but the rural areas would be OK. A guy I was reading has recently moved from Melbourne to Tennessee – he feels Australia is in real danger (the biggest danger is that Australia doesn’t recognise any danger). Or Hawaii maybe.
    Canada has the advantage that USA can never allow it to fall. But it is damn cold.

      • I think Fiji and other South Pacific islands are at risk of falling under China’s spell. Would be more inclined to look at Caribbean or Hawaii for an island life.

    • Sitting on the lift at Big White and Sunshine at -40 windchill. Brrrr. So cold that you couldn’t shred the pow as the friction would melt the snow then it would freeze right away. Walking through Banff, -35 no wind, water frozen in the air but OMG cold. Walking off the plane from Sydney into Calgary night air in shorts/tshirt at -20 weeeeee!

      35deg in Calgary in summer but.

      Hawaii’d be nice. San Diego? Carolinas? NorCal? Atlantic French Coast?

      • Thinking similar. North CA is fantastic, but is still part of CA which has gone crazy. Lots of CA refugees in AZ and TX. ,

        If it all turns to sh1t, there will be a lot to be said for USA.

  14. This is really our fault. We keep voting these top bureaucrats into power. You don’t like the current top bureaucrats you just need to vote for different top bureaucrats. We get the top bureaucrats we deserve.

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