COVID Update: VIC COVID cases rise, NSW cases shrink

Today’s COVID cases were a continuation  of recent trends, with Victoria’s COVID outbreak continuing to worsen while NSW’s improves.

Victoria recorded 1890 new locally acquired COVID cases – the second highest daily count on record – alongside five deaths:

By contrast, NSW’s daily COVID cases fell to 477, although six people died:

The next chart plots the sharp divergence in daily cases across the two states:

Active cases are also tracking in opposite directions:

2.550% of tests across Victoria over the past 24 hours came back positive, according to COVIDBaseAU:

By contrast, only 0.556% of tests in NSW came back positive:

Victoria’s Reff is 1.25, meaning cases will continue to rise:

By contrast, NSW’s Reff is just 0.77:

Polar opposites.

Unconventional Economist
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          • DodgydamoMEMBER

            Melbourne’s so fortunate to have many Culutural And Linguistically Diverse peoples who can’t trust government health services or hospitals.

            Emergency doctor says most COVID patients presenting late to hospital are CALD

            Doctor Mark Putland has been watching the COVID-19 impact on CALD communities play out every day.

            He says the majority of the Royal Melbourne Hospital’s last 350 COVID-19 patients in the emergency room were from a CALD background.

            “I worked on a shift on the floor on Wednesday night, and that was certainly what we found there … it’s kind of heartbreaking to be honest,” he says.

          • Exactly the same in Sydney. Overwhelming majority were non-Caucasian.

            Multifactorial – and it is dangerous ground to even speak of this
            Some of it is that people from other backgrounds are more likely to have to work face to face (WFH less likely to be an option)
            Some of it is larger multigenerational households
            Some of it may be Vitamin D deficiency – which is easily correctable

            The same pattern was seen in UK and US health care workers. A higher proportion of BAME nurses and doctors succumbed to C19. This suggests that this discrepancy wasn’t entirely due to socioeconomic factors as it persisted when these factors were (at least partly) controlled.

            The CDC was publishing a lot of this data. Sadly a lot of this stopped when BLM started. It became dangerous to point to a simple fact.

            A college in Sweden told me that many Swedish deaths were African immigrants who were largely covered with clothes, and hence had vitamin D deficiency.

          • The Traveling Wilbur 🙉🙈🙊

            No one. Riiiiiiiiiight.

            No one but Gladys and Scotbag.
            And their ilk.
            Less than human.

      • If blanket lockdowns worked with delta…… then they would have worked in Victoria

        The problem wasn’t that NSW in 21 followed a different approach to Vic in 2020

        The problem was that delta is different to the original strain and alpha which were around in 2020

        • The Traveling Wilbur 🙉🙈🙊


          Explain those inconvenient, ‘one’-off ‘exceptions’ to the rule of: one state let it RIP because it was politically convenient and oh, the state with the closest metropolis caught it too as a consequence.

          Your continuous postings of the same rubbish written different ways are too tiresome to quietly tolerate further.

          • Lockdown hasn’t worked in NZ either, and they seemed to pride themselves on the hardest lockdown philosophy.

          • Delta cases found in WA, NT, SA, Qld and Tas have been caught early, isolated and contact traced. Steve has previously said that lockdowns work in extremes. Australian lockdowns have all been half-arsed and riddled with loopholes, ineffective at eliminating spread. Read the room, none but a extreme few have the appetite for being locked up any more, everyone who truly wants the vaccine has already had it, it seems the time has come for society to roll the dice. Don’t be the guy in the bunker at the end of the movie blaming the Australian people for their lack of commitment or willingness to sacrifice while you condemn them to their downfall.

      • This virus has become endemic and will be around indefinitely.
        So we have to learn to live with it.
        And Victoria has to learn from its multitude of errors.
        There is no point Victoria repeatedly saying in effect “Victorian style lockdowns couldn’t work in Victoria this time because NSW didn’t employ Victorian style lockdowns.”
        The game has changed with delta. Accept it.

        • I accept that I said the same thing yesterday emphasising that it’s not because lockdowns don’t work but because Delta is so much more contagious.
          But until we get to close to 100% vaccination there is no other choice. And it was a terrible mistake by NSW to let Delta take hold before Australia had been vaccinated.

          • I think we should demand a refund from the vaccine sellers and demand that they go back to the drawing board and come up with something that works.

            In my humble opinion a manufacturer does not need to resort to bullying, threatening, bashing its competitors, censoring information, etc if it has a quality product to sell. The current vaccine manufacturers clearly do not. Quality sells itself.

          • Jumping jack flash

            “I think we should demand a refund from the vaccine sellers and demand that they go back to the drawing board and come up with something that works.”


            Surely by now there is enough data?

            Australia is a bit behind and we’re still focused on the 80% target for “freedom”. Other countries have moved beyond that point and are focussed on distributing boosters. We will be focussed on distributing boosters to everyone soon enough, probably by around April, to continue our “freedom”.

            The data is solid concerning waning protection levels over time.

    • Two of my neighbours just got done by the Council for renovating there shed into a rentable granny flat. Renting is the new game in town and seems like everyones renting out there dunny box for someone to sleep in if they have the chance.

      Another block of land has been turned into some kind of undercover commercial entity. The lands supposed to be residential and they’ve got all kinds of trucks, backhoe’s, cranes, forklifts and all kinds of crap going in and out. They’ve got vehicles driving through at 3am in the morning. Other segments of that property are filling up with caravans. The lights are on 24 hours per day like some kind of industrial complex. They got big a$$ semi-trucks of the road train variety going in at 3am in the morning.

      Everyones just sub-letting there land out because clearly there’s buggerall jobs around and it seems like the only money in town.

      Im guessing everyones moving to Queensland and starting to realise, there’s no work available. So everyones sub-letting, getting busted by the council for all there nefarious deeds and starting to realise that life isnt as fun.

      You can always tell the foreigners. They are the ones playing with there d*cks and hauling capucci machines around everywhere they go.

      ” Its not called a Capucci you moron, its called Coffee… and p*ss off back to where you came from “.

    • A long time ago, Queensland used to have some wonderful fauna and flora. There used to be Kangaroo’s where I lived once. Possums, Birds and all kinds of wonderful wildlife. A turtle while I was surfing once. Ah man, the storms. Sitting on the roof ( yeah, its crazy I know ) just watching them thunderstorms is majestic.

      Lately, I’ve come to discover a new kind of variety. I call it the waynker. I was driving my car the other day and came up to a set of lights. I heard all this glaring techno music noise being blasted full ball out of a car beside me. I look out the window to see a foreign make european vehicle which looks like one pothole and the thing would be airborne. Anyway, with all this blaring loud music, I saw a guy in the front seat with his mouth open appear to be dancing. I look at his passenger seat and rear seats only to observe, nope, he was in his car alone and certainly not talking to anyone. Then I come to realise he must be one of them foreigners engaged in the fine arts of Master Debating. Its a common thing from waynkers of that variety.

      So the light turns green and my master debating waynker floors the accelerator in a mad hurry, scoots ahead in a mad rush. I dont care. I just keep driving as I enjoy the nice view. A few minutes later, I hit another set of lights up ahead and I decide to come to a stop. Here’s my master debating waynker friend sitting beside me, having made absolutely no progress and here we are both sitting together at the same set of lights.

      I went surfing. It was a beautiful day. There’s just something to be said for that sight of being alone and all that blue water. I go out for a few hours of surf, come back to the car park, see a NSW number plated car, grab a screwdriver and shove it through the tire of this NSW number plated car. I love the noise the air makes when the tyres deflates. So awesome.

      Such a beautiful day. I wish we could have the kangaroo’s back. I liked the kangaroo’s.

    • MountainGuinMEMBER

      Doesn’t wivenhoe rely on good summer rains? Still may be plenty of time to get the normal seasonal soaking. BOM also says la nina gives more cyclones than el nino.

      • Mining BoganMEMBER

        Yeah, they’ll be praying for an ex-cyclone/rain depression to come down from the north and dump on everything. In saying that though, that water has to look after more and more by the week.

        The good burghers of Toowoomba must be contemplating their decision to knock back a recycled water plant a few years back and rely on those dams. That’ll learn ’em.

    • The Wogs ( Greeks ) are notorious for not paying Tax. The story of Greece is really well known.

      I’ve heard through the grapevine that Greeks are just as bad in Australia. They are audited a lot because many of them just outright refuse or dodge paying any kind of taxes.

      I was wondering if Gladys Berejiklian or that John Barilaro character where ever audited for tax, I wouldnt be surprised if they where found to be up on some kind of tax fraud. I bet they have a history of not paying tax ;p

      Call it a hunch.

    • First post – first sentence: true; second sentence: maybe, maybe not.
      Second post – Fiction.
      Third post – Fiction.

      Edit – 8:51 and 8:55 posts: bile.

  1. Womans Cricket on TV. Nice. Cant we afford men anymore?

    I guess woman are here to save us all… because men have just stopped giving a sh*t.

    2000+ years of sexual biology. Men have a tendency to look after woman. When the tables turned, woman just divorce and leave there men out in the cold. A feminist society is really just a society where we kill off men. In a country where your average marriage lifespan is only 8 years, its a recipe for social disaster. If you buy a dog, they last for 11. Most dogs outlive the lifespan of most Australian marriages.

    So the money is now in exploiting Woman and Migrants because men have woken up to this crap. Oh, and I forgot, the aboriginals want all white men dead too.

    Is Australia running out of people who give a sh*t anymore? Must be desperate if we’ve got female sport on tv.

  2. ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

    “I recon it’s getting worse, mate. Haven’t had a decent summer for five years. Winter seems to extend long into November.

    Can’t remember running my heater in October…“

    Sounds like the next ice age is coming Leith.
    We should probably start burning more coal to save Melbourne from Glaciation.
    No one is gunna want to go outdoors when the front door is under a kilometre of ice!

    “Antarctica has posted its coldest winter since records began in 1957 with average temperatures of -61.1 ° C. The previous record was -60.6°C in 1976.

    According to a shocked Washington Post:

    The chill was exceptional, even for the coldest location on the planet.

    The average temperature at the Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station between April and September, a frigid minus-78 degrees (minus-61 Celsius), was the coldest on record, dating back to 1957. This was 4.5 degrees lower than the most recent 30-year average”

    Sydney should be OK,…though those Southerly busters might get a bit more chilly.
    A Nth Queensland investment property might be a good idea.

    Global warming,…pffft!

    • Jumping jack flash

      Im certainly no proponent of global warming, i believe in 1000+ year harmonic cycles, sunspots, sun aging, planets, wobbles, etc, but from what i understand about “climate change” its all about energy distribution. One place gets the hottest summer on record and another place gets the coldest winter. The energy that would have created a warmer winter is simply redistributed to create the warmer summer. Its like yin and yang, but the net energy is currently pushed towards warming. In another 1000 years when the harmonics have shifted 180 it may well be net cooling, but who knows?

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