Victoria’s COVID outbreak spirals out of control

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Victoria’s Delta outbreak continues to spiral out of control.

The state recorded another 246 locally acquired COVID cases over the past 24 hours – the highest daily count this outbreak:

Of these 246 new local cases, only 121 are linked to known cases and outbreaks. This means that around half are ‘mystery cases’.

The next chart shows the break-out in daily cases across Victoria:

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VIC local cases

Victoria’s daily cases are tracking worse than NSW’s at the same point in time:

Active cases
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Active local cases in Victoria have surged above 1600:

VIC active local cases

And they are tracking at the same pace as NSW, only around six weeks behind:

Active locally acquired cases
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The only positive news is that Premier Daniel Andrews yesterday signalled that a few lockdown restrictions could be relaxed ahead of schedule, as modelling suggests that 70% of Victoria’s eligible population will have received at least one vaccine dose by 18 September.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.