NSW COVID cases continue to fall

NSW Health has recorded another 961 locally acquired COVID cases and nine deaths:

The age breakdown of the nine deaths are as follows:

  • One person was in their 40s
  • Two people in their 60s
  • Two people in their 70s
  • Four people in their 80s

Eight people were unvaccinated, and one had received one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

There have been 297 COVID-19 related deaths in NSW since 16 June 2021 and 353 in total since the start of the pandemic.

There are currently 1,146 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 222 people in intensive care, 117 of whom require ventilation.

The next chart plots NSW’s daily cases, which continue to fall from peak:

Active cases also continue to fall:

Finally, NSW’s infection rate is falling:

Good news.

Unconventional Economist

Comments

  1. Nine (9) deaths reported today.
    In the land of Merdejiklian any day with a single digit death score is a holiday.

  2. reusachtigeMEMBER

    Ok, now look, commies have been giving Gladys and Scott a hard time, because they love to be subjugated and controlled by rules and plans, but in the end I am confident that both Gladys and Scott have totally got the China Virus actions done spot on.

    Thankfully Scott purposely delayed getting vaccines because no one gave a sh1t about getting them anyway as they were happy to be under totalitarian rule without any virus. But Gladys knew the world was different and we needed to lose our extremely misguided fears and embrace the virus. So she didn’t go too hard and did not implement the new totalitarian regime the fearful wanted.

    She has controlled the spread of the virus perfectly while Scott then ramped up the vaccines and now we are getting to a great place where we can rejoin the world. They have done an ace job and will be well rewarded at the next elections.

    • boomengineeringMEMBER

      Mask wearing should be made mandatory for the vaxed to warn reusa and his unmasked powerwalking buddies to avoid the sicko’s approaching.
      Mask wearing is bad for your health constricting breathing making it more likely for bad Covid outcomes, if you do happen to catch it.
      If it doesn’t constrict your breathing then its not functioning properly.

    • That’s an extremely long winded effort.

      Whoever holds Reusa’s password these days needs to keep the posts much shorter.

      • Reusa is possibly in a Chinese jail over a misunderstanding/accident involving a ccp ladyman like Gladys Liu

    • That’s one way to look at it although I’ve never heard of a more rose-coloured glasses view. Any sane observer would look at it and on every measure they failed. Kept people locked down since June – little freedoms compared to QLD, WA and other states.

      If the numbers are going down its because the totalitarian regime of lock downs, getting jabs or no job, and closed borders is working albeit slowly.

      • There is a more simple explanation.

        The weather in Sydney has become a lot warmer and it’s usually sunny in September too.

        In Melbourne it’s still cool and miserable most of the time.

        When lockdowns end, I suspect the numbers will shoot back up in Sydney.

        • I do agree with this partly to. Melbourne seems to just spread COVID faster even with harsher controls than Sydney/QLD/etc. I do think it is the weather. More importantly ventilation and quarantine by air gaps is the most effective way to stop the spread of any virus.

          This happens naturally in warmer areas anyway. People open windows, talk outside, interact outside shops, etc.

  3. C'est de la folieMEMBER

    Sorry for the mega blurb – but I am literally sitting and writing out my thinking about the great Covid experience started vis the below and 90 minutes later ended up with a rant…..

    ‘I feel like I’m mourning’: Can friendships broken in the pandemic be repaired?
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/i-feel-like-i-m-mourning-can-friendships-broken-in-the-pandemic-be-repaired-20210922-p58txp.html

    The backdrop for moi

    I have people who I know, friends, who are both rabidly anti vaccine and pro vaccine, and who also think that the virus (COVID) is a major health event, and that there are very major questions to ask about it.

    I have been vaccinated, but I dont really understand where vaccination takes us as a public health event management strategy and have doubts about any given vaccine currently being employed. I also respect the concept of people having a choice about whether they have a vaccine or not.

    ………FWIW ……my wife had her first Pfizer shot yesterday, she was still in the vaccination clinic when she virtually passed out, and they had her lay down for about 15 minutes and then brought her out to the gate in a wheelchair. She sat on the couch all evening with a headache feeling very cold – my kids are pretty shaken. More than once I thought about getting her down to the local emergency ward (which would almost certainly involve a big wait). I have another mate who recently had his second Pfizer shot and was hospitalized for a couple of days. I had AstraZeneca and although a touch ropey after the first shot was fine afterwards.

    Nutters and vaccination

    I look at events like what seems to be happening in Melbourne and wonder where this is all heads. Cops seemingly going a touch over the top for what are reasonably small crowds of generally poorly informed people (from what I have seen of the videos) who are keen to make a public nuisance of themselves, who seem to me to have been given a starting detonation (at least) by large numbers of building workers mainly concerned about their jobs in the face of a building site vaccination mandate.

    I dont really see vaccination mandates as making all that much sense because as I currently understand things all vaccines are basically ‘wearing off’ after about 6 months. To me this means that nearly everyone would need to be vaccinated at nearly the same time [which isnt going to happen given the completely palsied vaccine rollout we have had in Australia, but also around the world].

    From there I go to a point where if that is true then I see all forms of vaccine mandate – including vaccine passports – as essentially being vaccination date dependent. Valid for a certain period after the date of the second vaccination. That then brings us to booster shots and the need for these to be rolled out a whole heap more intelligently than the initial vaccines.

    I see loads more protests when the need for booster shots becomes more widely understood, when the limitations of vaccine passports becomes more widely understood, and also when – even with up to 100% of people vaccinated [which I dont think they are going to get] – there will still be an ongoing need for lockdowns in specific locations where the virus is spreading, or if the virus evolves into other forms [which my reading tells me it almost certainly will].

    At that point I would note that I have some highly intelligent and respected friends who are daily sending me messages or emails questioning the advent of the virus and its arrival in Australia.

    How did we get here?

    On the advent of the virus I think the narrative we have is about as good as it is going to get. The virus emanated from Wuhan or nearby in China, probably related to SARS, probably from animals. While on the one hand I completely agree there should be a thorough global investigation and as much genetic virology based examination of whatever has happened as possible, I also tend to the view that the geopolitical angle will become so pronounced that there will be loads of countering ‘data’ ‘information’ ‘theory’ making it that much more difficult for ordinary people to come to some conclusions about what has happened. But I do think the debate about what it is will continue for quite some time to come – particularly while we have riots, and cops belting people and people clogging up intensive care wards. And the longer the imbroglio goes on the more trenchant will become the calls for information on how this came about.

    The other question about the advent of the virus is ‘just how serious is it?’ I personally totally get the idea that a fairly small number of cases which lead to a cytokine storm inside the body – even if it is people with comorbidities [especially obesity, diabetes and age related conditions] – will lead to overwhelmed ICU systems almost everywhere. This effect will be amplified by the inclination of medical systems to either cut down on or limit the number of ICU beds and facilities, as has been the case any time forward of the mid 1990s in Australia, and far longer in places like the UK. IC systems are easily overwhelmed by numbers of the type COVID seemingly can produce. But that doesnt get me away (because I have loads of people pointing this out to me) that for most people this virus is likely to be a heavy form of flu. So that has me thinking that messaging from decisionmakers needs to be pitched at those who arent all that likely to get a bad dose of the virus about why there needs to be lockdowns and mass vaccinations.

    Lockdowns

    That sort of leads me back to thinking lock downs make sense – because if we assume the virus is a real health threat then we dont want people getting the virus, both for their own sake and for the sake of the public health system. But at that point I think it would be true to say that for many people lockdowns have a limited durability. I personally dont have an issue with lockdowns but I have continued to head into my job every day of the last 18 months and am still out and about, as well as not having a rabid social life. I am in touch with friends every day by message or email, I communicate with people all over the world. Not everyone is me. It would seem to me that plenty of people have major problems with lockdowns. I have seen first hand data suggesting that these have major mental health effects on people, and have asked both my children if they are OK with them – my son (15) copes fine with them so he tells me, but I wonder about his school [despite him getting good marks].

    I am connected socially with people who are rabidly against lockdowns. These arent yet protesting like those in Melbourne, but many are strongly sympathetic and beaming my inboxes full of supportive messages and emails. That said I think many people like me (and my wife) are quite capable of doing lockdown and lead pretty quiet lives, and pretty much just do as they are told they should do. But I think longer term lockdowns lead to some fairly rebellious thoughts about the authorities, and regulations, enforcing lockdowns and quarantine compliance and all sort of weird bureaucracy which irritates people [even me] in circumstances which seem trivial or pettifogging or even deliberately intended to offend.

    Some of the bureaucracy adopted at workplace level is simply silly -..…….. I work in a location where two floors of a building which has one air conditioning system are told that people on the bottom floor need to exit enter through one door and those on the first floor need to enter exit through another door and that the workplace is effectively two separate workplaces despite there being no airlock, and that people on the lower floor hand files (via lift) to people on the second. This is dubiously influenced by the known fact that all of our chiefs are working from home – and tend to spend much of their time beaming out irritatingly silly missives about ‘lockdown lunches’ by zoom, about how much they ‘care’ for what we do, and want to ‘thank’ us [which all tends to underpin a mindset of they couldnt give a rats toss and want to clutter our day with bullshit emails].

    As someone who has good contact with some significant executive types with larger public and corporate bureaucracies I find myself wondering if that widespread disenchantment with ‘the bosses’ (which I believe exists) isnt also affecting the way we see the major political and administrative decisions (ie they are largely bullshit but we will go along with them until they become so inconvenient that we cant live with them, and we assume the net beneficiaries of them will be people other than us).

    The messaging

    As someone who works, outside my day job, in the field of communications and writing/editing things, I find much of the advent and communications about COVID simply mystifying. I get that the ‘leaders’ have taken time to come to grips with what they are dealing with and what can be deployed to deal with it. But the real question here becomes, why havent they simply acknowledged that they are essentially making things up as they go and been as open about it as they can be. Why dont they simply acknowledge ‘we dont know if this is going to work, but we think this is our best bet given the parameters we have and the implications we think the virus could have’ coupled with a far clearer ‘we will support ordinary people no matter what, so dont worry about your jobs’ type of thinking. The messaging from, my point of view seems to be very half baked around the latter – ranging from ‘arent we nice to have given money to your employers to keep you all employed’ to ‘you’re on your own’ – and on the former seems far too reliant on the ‘we know what is best for you so do as we say’ when it appears that those conveying this message have essentially cocked things up on the allowing the virus to Australia and of things, unless we adopt a position of ‘this virus was deliberately allowed into Australia to affect Australians, because that is best for Australia’ which would have the effect of a lot of people assuming that the virus is nothing more than a bad flu and that they should be allowed to continue doing as they were in December 2019, and makes a complete mockery of exhortations to get vaccinated and desirability to have 80% of people vaccinated emanating from these same people.

    Work From Home

    My personal take is that the WFH experience is going to be one of the really big takeaways from the virus advent. But that for the most part people dont know how that is going to play out or precisely what it means for people. A sighter of the type of experience is in the larger number of people who do a lot of work from home – IT types, creative writers, spreadsheet analysts and the like. But a lot more people don’t yet know what it means for the very large numbers of Australians who work in larger organisations and need to be onsite to be part of the ‘team’ – even if that is mainly to be seen to be part of the team (and/or kiss butt).

    The real question for a lot of Australians is ‘does WFH now mean I am competing with people in call centres in India to be efficient in my job?’ and ‘will my income expectations be tailored by these?’

    Beyond that though there is some major scope to ask about what can actually be done from home. I think that there is scope to start school later, and do a lot more school from home, and to organise socialising activities for kids in other ways. I do a lot of work from home as a freelancer (away from a day job) so I am pretty familiar with quite complex activities which can be undertaken nearly 100% on line (last year I did a HR like function for an organisation on three continents, in half a dozen different time zones). A question for those higher up and thinking more strategically in those organisations will be ‘how secure are our communications?’ or ‘what happens if our subordinates start organising themselves and communicating with each other in ways which we feel are inimical to the ‘organisation’ as we see it?’

    The Macro needs vaccination – and our government seems keen to ‘let us rip’

    But that’s all ahead of us here in Australia. We currently live in an economy which relies almost solely on iron ore/commodity exports to China – whom we have mightily peeved off – or services of the type which can be sourced worldwide far cheaper than they can here (some IT types notwithstanding). Almost no complex activity involving Australians and Australian systems is cost effective at a global competition level and our lone stab at doing something more complex revolves around selling citizenship to those who are prepared to cough up for some of the world’s most expensive university qualifications. That dynamic is the underpinning of the world’s most heavily indebted people.

    The same lack of preparedness to level with Australians about the ‘making it up as we go’ response to COVID comes though at this angle as a straight out bullshit ‘things are pretty good’, ‘house prices are up’, ‘we are opening up’ type thinking which doesn’t address observable shortcomings with that narrative.

    And in the meantime those nutters protesting in Melbourne might just really set off a fuse if the heavily indebted Australian punterariat becomes animated by a macro arguably far more damaging than their risk of a COVID related spell in intensive care.

    • Diogenes the CynicMEMBER

      Good take on things. I think the origin of the virus is pretty academic and not worth spending time on now. Obviously the US could push it as some sort of pressure on China but the new Cold War is ongoing anyway (see Meng being released today after hostage diplomacy worked). Far better to think about how to adapt behaviours/processes to a world with COVID.

      School in lockdown
      My experience of lockdown was that my kids did better – finishing their school and homework by 3pm and then could spend time playing in the pool/yard/reading/music. They were much less stressed than normally. From what I can see you could boil the school programme down to about 3-4 hours a day by stripping out lunch and other time wasting like lockers, to and fro movements from classrooms, roll call etc. I’d make each subject class slightly longer and in depth and then you could run a 4 day school week. Kids could then meet up in small groups outside to engage in some sports or music. The School of the Air has been doing this stuff for a long time – there must be ways to reimagine the teaching of children. The Khan academy is another way. Universities should certainly be striding towards this.

      Workplace
      Also has to be reimagined. Your workplace situation sounds bizarre – makes no sense. Working from home is money and time effective and in some industries is showing higher productivity. In COVID era it is also safer for staff and business owners. Better level of communications, and newer apps invalidate a lot of modern office time wasting. But this is in white collar work.
      Offshoring white collar work to India has not been an easy row to plough. I’ve seen this fail in IT, engineering and finance industries. Short term saves costs but in the long term, quality of work falls and costs rise and someone needs to redo the overseas work. Occasionally you have dramatic failures which damage customers and your own brand.

      Vaccination
      From an individual standpoint vaccination seems to reduce one’s chance of being badly effected or dying from COVID so that unless your chance of dying by having the vaccination is greater, it would make sense to get the vaccination. If you lived in the outback and had limited contact then those odds might be different but for most it seems like that is a good personal move. From a society standpoint it also reduces the risk of ICU being overloaded which again I think most would agree is something to be avoided. From there it gets a lot murkier for the opening it up crowd as if vaccinations wear off (as the overseas evidence suggests) or mutations occur bypassing vaccination efficacy then we are back to ICUs being overwhelmed which I think leads back to lockdowns. Politicians won’t advocate for bodies piling up outside of ICUs as the way forward. I agree their narrative here will shortly be revealed as the Emperor with no clothes. However, the Feds are only looking to the next election, they will change the narrative to fit the circumstances post election. Messaging is only about the election – they have no plans for the future.

      • Re: offshoring work. Yep. Pay peanuts get monkeys. I think it’s a complete was of time for any job that requires proactive thinking. In many cultures, India in particular they often won’t take the lead or initiative to solve something. Instead it’s very top down, hierarchical and they often cannot think outside of the normal script (especially the call centres).

  4. Looks like hospital system accommodates about 1k patients. Anyway, now Vic doesn’t have to worry about overloading the hospital system – just “treat” them at home.

  5. Cmon Gladdy – there’s still time to ease restrictions so we can have a small Grand Final BBQ next Sunday.

  6. More gaslighting from our Far-quit-in-chief:

    “My message is that for Christmas, what I’d like [Australians] to have is their lives back and that’s the gift I’d like to give them.”

    I don’t hold a hose. It’s not a race. Yet “I” am the one who is going to gift Australians their freedom from the prison that I created.

    • Mining BoganMEMBER

      Are these the same Australians he was going to have home for last Christmas? You know, the ones still not home.

      • Those stuck o/s are all Australian. Merdoch was Australian. But those stuck can suck… ’cause they are not Merdoch.

      • The Traveling Wilbur 🙉🙈🙊

        @MiBo

        Not exactly the same, no. Even if you do double count the ones who’ve died since last Christmas there are a bunch who’ve arrived in Australia who weren’t here for the last one.

    • MountainGuinMEMBER

      What a clown. No quarantine, no leadership, slow vaccines, $$ showered on firms who didn’t need it and wont claw it back or even tell us who he gave the $$ too.

    • I hate the bloke, but reckon he will romp it in next election. You know because Aussies have stockholm syndrome.

  7. SnappedUpSavvyMEMBER

    Funny mate of mine just let me know he’s gotten so fat from lockdown he can dry two martini glasses with his moobs 😂

  8. In some sad news, the mother of the Principal of my sons school was one of the fatalities yesterday. She was apparently otherwise fit and healthy.

  9. ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

    Much media attention (coordinated propaganda?) has been focused on calling anti lockdown/anti Vaxxer types “Far Right extremists”

    Yet nearly all those in my orbit who are most rabidly anti Covid action are those whole food type lefties not right wingers at all!

    After decades of intense indoctrination and competition on who is the greater victim on the intersectional Hierarchy of oppression pyramid,…is anyone really surprised that, today, everyone wants in on the victimhood business.
    Especially Business itself!

    Check out this little piece of #FakeLeft virtue signalling,

    In his self-described “open letter to the community”, the business owner said he wanted “everyone to feel welcome” on his premises and was embracing “unity” rather than “segregation” in these times.
    “So we have chosen to continue to operate as takeaway only until everyone is free to dine in,” his message continued.
    “I want everyone to feel welcome at all times and I will never put profit before people.
    “Thank you for your continued support.”

    https://apple.news/ApWPcBFY8R6uWBY-Pij0W3A

    “A number of other hospitality owners have declared they would welcome people to their restaurants, salons and pubs even if they aren’t vaccinated against Covid-19 — however nobody else has gone as far as delaying their business’ reopening day out of solidarity.”

    lol