Morrison Government facing electoral wipeout

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According to a quarterly analysis of Newspoll surveys conducted between July and September, the Morrison Government stands to lose between six to 10 seats on the back of significant swings against the Coalition in Victoria, Western Australia and NSW if current trends persist.

The swing to Labor is roughly 4% in NSW, 5% in Vic, 3.5% in Qld, 9.5% in WA, and 2.5% in SA.

Queensland remains the only remaining stronghold for the Coalition despite Labor gaining ground there:

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.