Yep, China will cut the cash rate

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The question is, what will it achieve? Bloomie has a crack at it:

  • More Chinese economists are calling for cash rate cuts as the economy slows.
  • Xu Hongcai, deputy director of the economic policy committee at the state-run think tank China Association of Policy Science says real estate is contained so the PBoC can act.
  • Tommy Xie, head of Greater China research at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp says RRR cut are still working so PBoC should wait.
  • Cao Heping, an economics professor at Peking University says investment will fit if the PBoC cuts.

I agree entirely that the PBoC is going to have to cut the cash rate, not just RRR cuts which do absolutely nothing. For all of the reasons cited above.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.