Stay right away from emerging markets

Advertisement

There’s a value siren song being sung by a lot of people right now that you should avoid. Those singing it include some very impressive individuals, such as Jeremy Grantham. It is to go long emerging markets (EM) over developed markets (DM). The argument is very straightforward. DM equities are richly valued while EMs are cheap:

More heavy-hitter pile in today:

Elevated commodity prices and expectations for earnings growth are igniting bullish bets on emerging-market equities after more than a decade of underperformance that left them approaching a 20-year low against developed-nation stocks.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
Advertisement