NSW records another 207 COVID cases

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NSW Health has recorded another 207 locally acquired COVID cases over the past 24 hours, which follows the 210 cases reported on Saturday and the 239 cases recorded on Sunday:

Of these locally acquired cases, 105 are linked to a known case or cluster, 92 are household contacts & 13 are close contacts, the source of infection for 102 cases is under investigation.

Eighty-nine cases were in isolation throughout their infectious period and 21 cases were in isolation for part of their infectious period. Fifty-one cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 46 cases remains under investigation.

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A 91 year old man has also died from COVID, taking total deaths this outbreak to 15.

There are currently 232 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 54 people in intensive care, 25 of whom require ventilation.

The next chart plots NSW’s current outbreak against Victoria’s winter-spring outbreak last year, which saw Melbourne shut down for 14 consecutive weeks:

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New COVID cases

Australia’s two biggest COVID outbreaks.

If NSW was to follow Victoria’s trajectory, cases would not peak for another week.

NSW now has around 3,000 active recorded COVID cases:

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Active COVID cases

Yet to peak.

At this rate, NSW’s lockdown will likely extend into September.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.