Labor takes landslide lead over Morrison government

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A new opinion poll from Roy Morgan has the ALP extending its election lead over the LNP, leading 54% to 46% on a two-party preferred basis – the biggest poll lead since the early 2020 bushfires:

ALP support has increased to 54% (up 0.5% points since early August) cf. L-NP on 46% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis after Melbourne’s sixth lockdown was extended, Sydney’s lockdown was extended to the whole State of NSW and the ACT entered lockdown for the first time in over a year, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention.

This is the largest two-party preferred lead for the ALP since the national bushfires crisis of early 2020. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be easily elected with the largest share of the vote since the 1977 Federal Election won by Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser with 54.6% of the vote.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.