How far will Chinese stocks fall?

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Not that I’d recommend buying them. The sovereign risk is far too great. And it is too much fun cheering from the sidelines as a self-sabotaging CCP does itself harm.

Still, Chinese equities matters for many other asset prices beyond China. The crunch is a part of the post-COVID return to Chinese economic restructuring. The further Chinese stocks fall, the greater the contagion into other markets will become, including CNY and AUD, as well as commodities and, eventually, DM equities as well.

For context, here are some basic statistics from Goldman:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.