Happy RBA wrong again as payrolls locked down?

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ABS weekly payrolls are…rolling sharply:

Everywhere but led by NSW:

It’s a blue recession!

These numbers are seasonally adjusted but, let’s face it, it’s what we would expect and it is going to get worse.

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Given rolling lockdowns across the entire east coast probably until Summer, the glass-half-full RBA is shaping as wrong again.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.