Australia facing massive housing oversupply by 2023

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Tim Toohey of Yarra Capital says the take-up rate of the federal government’s HomeBuilder scheme was more than four times higher than expected. He says that together with state-based incentives, this will result in an oversupply of new housing by 2023.

The government received more than 99,000 applications to build a new home via the scheme, as well as some 22,000 applications to undertake renovations on an existing home. Toohey adds that there is also a good chance that house prices will fall over the next two years:

“Taxpayers have effectively handed out almost $3bn in ‘free money’ to people to build or renovate their home,” Mr Toohey said.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.