VIC lockdown to end with COVID cases under control

The Victorian Department of Health has reported another 10 locally acquired cases over the past 24 hours.

However, like the prior three days, all cases were linked to existing outbreaks and were in quarantine throughout their infectious period. Thus, they pose minimal risk to the community.

The next chart shows that new locally-acquired cases in Victoria continue to trend lower:

VIC locally acquired COVID cases

New COVID cases falling.

According to the media, Victoria will exit from lockdown at midnight tonight as follows:

  • Schools, shops, gyms hairdressers and beauticians will reopen, while the 5km travel limit is set to be axed;
  • Restaurants, bars, cafes, pubs, gyms, hairdressers and beauty will be restricted by a density quotient of 1 person per 4 sqm, with patron caps also applying.
  • Workers will be able to return to the office – at a maximum 25% of capacity or 10 people, whichever is greater.
  • Community sport will return with caps.
  • Masks will still be mandatory indoors and outdoors.
  • Public outdoor gatherings will be limited to 10 people.

Good news for us lockdown fatigued Victorians.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. That pretty much settles it – Gladys needs to resign over this – probably one of the single biggest policy and political failures in this countries history – MUST RESIGN.

      • FUDINTHENUDMEMBER

        They will. And then they will be back into lockdowns within a matter of weeks/months once full blown crisis hit (ala every other country in the world who tried it). Lockdowns inevitable if you “let it rip” without proper vaccine coverage!

    • By your logic Dan Andrews should resign as well given he was far too late locking down last year, resulting in the virus getting out of control. Victoria had 836 active cases, 191 new cases, before last year’s lockdown was announced.

      • He was first mover. He had the whole RW media, Fed and state LNP all trying to stop him locking down. Gladys choose to wait, to ram home a politic point, she succeeded.

        • And Gladys had the federal government and same media trying to stop her from locking down. What’s the difference?

          Let’s be honest here. People’s views are formed by what side of the political fence they sit on.

          • She refused to lock down – we had Delta strain – Dan locked down – sorry this isn’t a debate you can win.

            Dan locked down – Gladys REFUSED trying to blame a new paper for her decision is ridiculous – absolutely ridiculous.

          • drsmithyMEMBER

            And Gladys had the federal government and same media trying to stop her from locking down. What’s the difference?

            A year’s worth of other people’s experiences to learn from ?

          • The difference is failing to learn the lessons from Vic a whole year ago, and proceeding to repeat every mistake? How does this not make sense to you?

          • I agree I find it funny how both Gladys and Dan were trapped for the same reason. In a way you could say Aged care saved him as it give him the reason to go all the way to Stage 5 while Gladys hasn’t got a critical uptick to bolster the decision to react.

            The frog is slowly boiling and there hasn’t been a public health response for 10 days. Incredible that the feds aren’t stepping in with more financial help, and NSW isn’t making their own stage 5 business closures & masks mandates.

            Vaccines seems a very slow way of getting out of this

        • BornwildMEMBER

          This!!! Since the Victorian outbreak, all States except for NSW have had the same response to outbreaks – go hard and go early. If the objective is to have zero covid in the community, then it was the only option to avoid a long painful lockdown. NSW chose to go their own way and now will pay a huge price.

      • Sure Dan locked down too late – but he was the first one to really deal with a major outbreak. And he learned which was evident from the last outbreak – and then again on this out break.

        All the evidence was there – instead the LNP with Gladys and Morrison supporting each other on the same page – ignored Dans evidence, ignored Dans tactics, response, methodology and approach to successfully tackling the virus based on 100% political grounds – and the result is the single biggest political and policy failure in Australian history.

        Instead – Gladys attacked Victoria repeatedly, her arrogance and vitriol was on display daily as her attacks were laid bare from her past media appearances.

        Finally Dans failures were also LNP failures – Quarantine is a Federal issue – there is just no two ways about this.

        You have no argument here sorry – Gladys utterly failed – its not political, its entirely factual and demonstrably TRUE.

        ..

        • Gladys is finished over this. It is just a matter of how she goes out. She can go out doing the right thing or as a miserable failure.
          I hope she tells the hard right within her party to get fvkt and gets it sorted.

  2. Mr SquiggleMEMBER

    Great news for lockdown fatigued victorians. But also, more evidence that lockdown , quarantine, distancing is a viable bridging strategy when done properly.

    • “Good news for us lockdown fatigued Victorians”
      Leith’s pokes when reporting on Vic lockdowns are getting gentler with each article. Can’t wait to see if there will be one where he resists one altogether! But it’s a fair reminder. Andrews definitely stuffed up last year, but now is the time for some credit as his current approach is proving NSW just got lucky last year.

    • Hence the need to lock it down pronto.. See https://twitter.com/dbRaevn/status/1419166932327047169/photo/1 for a good view of how quick it moves, and how established your tracing needs to be to capture it all. Melbourne was unlucky that they had consecutive super spreaders here, but maybe that relates to the climate as previous outbreaks add similar dynamics. To go from 3 cases to 130 in a week or so is insane.

  3. C.M.BurnsMEMBER

    you just can’t bring yourself to say it, can you Leith. You’re incapable of acknowledging that Victoria’s go hard / go early lock-down worked and that the same approach from QLD and WA have worked.

    And all those posts putting the bin chicken and NSW’s gold standard on a pedastal vis-a-vie “dictator dan” have aged like a cup of milk on a hot day

    • Just one Goat. Victoria mucked up this time last year, but had mitigating circumstances. Since that event they have been the gold standard certainly the only public health team in the English speaking world to eradicate outbreaks time after time. NSW had the opposite will they redeem themselves like the Vic team did?

    • Well said – this blog has very strong right wing leanings despite it trying to position itself as central – its 100% not.

      Quite ridiculous the intellectual level of Australia’s LNP supporters.

    • Arthur Schopenhauer

      Being locked down with kids and doing home schooling is hard, whether parents have a job or have been furlonged.

      Leith clearly struggles with it, like all of us. IMHO the projection of his frustration on Dan, diminishes the good work he does on housing and immigration.

    • Mr SquiggleMEMBER

      Go hard/go early only works if quarantine works to the same high standards.
      Victorian quarantine last year was an incompetent bungle.it still shows signs of structural problems and mismanagement.
      I think MB was pretty consistent on this point

      • +100 It was ridiculous to think choosing random hotels in your CBD’s would provide surety for this sort of project. In hindsight alot of surveying needed into air quality and the like as well as the logistical paths and resources needed. It was a big project to organise given 100% was needed.

        Something that National Cabinet gave a 3 day deadline for?

  4. RobotSenseiMEMBER

    172 new cases in NSW today.
    It’s going to get worse before it gets better there.

    • Arthur Schopenhauer

      Might want to stock up the pantry RS. Not looking good.

      There was a degree of schadenfreude in VIC when Gladys first fumbled, and now it’s moved to just hoping NSW does what is necessary to bring numbers down. 🤞

    • My concern is that they have given up and it will not get better at all.
      They are talking about reducing restrictions for FFS!!

      • NelsonMuntzMEMBER

        They want to “let it rip”, its the LNP way, they hope it will wipe out more leaners than lifters.

      • they’re still in denial. ICU utilisation rate will force them to do something soon. How many weeks before elective surgeries get cancelled and resources stretched

        • RobotSenseiMEMBER

          Not many.
          The only thing crankier than a surgeon overwhelmed with work is a surgeon who can’t operate because ICU is full.

  5. FUDINTHENUDMEMBER

    So is vicco the gold standard now? Or how does that work? Is someone giving out the awards?

    I did find it amusing that viccos press conference was scheduled at 10 min before nsw’s today.