NSW records another 124 COVID infections

NSW Health has reported another 124 new local COVID infections over the past 24 hours:

Of these locally acquired cases, 67 are linked to a known case or cluster – 45 are household contacts and 22 are close contacts – and the source of infection for 57 cases is under investigation.

Thirty-seven cases were in isolation throughout their infectious period and 22 cases were in isolation for part of their infectious period. Forty-eight cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 17 cases remains under investigation.

There are now 121 COVID infected people in hospital with 29 in ICU.

For comparative purposes, the next chart plots NSW’s current outbreak against Victoria’s Winter-Spring outbreak last year, which saw Melbourne locked down for 14 weeks:

Australia's COVID outbreaks

Australia’s two biggest COVID outbreaks compared.

Judging by Victoria’s outbreak, it could take several more weeks before NSW’s daily cases peak.

There are now around 1450 active recorded COVID cases in NSW:

NSW active COVID cases

NSW active COVID cases still rising.

It is shaping up as another long COVID winter.

Unconventional Economist

Comments

  1. Vic’s big outbreak looks to have peaked at day 53 or thereabouts on above graph. Currently NSW at day 35 from same- from where we are today it will be a a very good outcome for NSW if they peak in 18 days or less. At that point they will be roughly halfway through their lockdown.

  2. Usually there is a 5 day wave cycle. Predicting we will now see a few day declines with next peak not much higher than 120.
    We are about 7 days from peak now.

      • Dont think so. We have pretty much reached a limit of test per day.
        Most of them now will be in the 2nd or 3rd compulsory test rather than “new” tests.
        This will all to the bulk of negative results.
        As the case number reduce, that compulsory requirement will be lifted and case number will halve.
        This will create a huge drop in positive results and we will be on the down slope.

    • Gladys commented at the presser that she expected to see cases ‘even higher’ tomorrow, and she likely has a degree of access to how many positive cases were returned between 8pm last night and mid-morning this morning, or at least been briefed by people who do, so she’s more likely than not correct.

  3. ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

    I got tested again on Monday all clear so far.
    Fken irritating getting that thing shoved up yer nose.
    Causes me to sneeze for the rest of the day.

  4. Forty-eight cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 17 cases remains under investigation.

    So 4 weeks in and we’ve made no progress.

    • Charles MartinMEMBER

      yep, a mate of mine told me he had to tell friends and family not to come over to celebrate and they all questioned him like there was something wrong with him, lol, people are dumb.

      • C.M.BurnsMEMBER

        good on your mate ! 49.99% of the population is of below average intelligence. Overlaying with that, is that many cultures prioritise family over civic responsibility. We’re fooked

        • Yes, family and civic responsibility shouldn’t be in conflict. This is a product of the old country’s fractured society, the marginalised had to survive by cunning and law unto themselves. Unfortunately it endures here especially in enclaves.

        • @C.M. Burns It’s not generally well known, but apparently the human brain has lost 10-15% of brain size since homo sapiens evolved due precisely to this – that we select for social reasons, not intelligence. So if we survive another million years we’ll be back to the intelligence of monkeys. It’s in the first 30 pages you can read for free here:

          https://un-denial.com/2021/07/17/reality-blind-by-nate-hagens-and-dj-white/

          A fascinating book btw

  5. Ronin8317MEMBER

    To quote from Glady.

    “Unfortunately, when our health experts are interviewing families within households, we’re learning that they have visited families in other households and the disease is spreading through that way but unfortunately also in workplaces.”

    People are blatantly ignoring the restriction on family gathering, which is why the numbers keep going up.

  6. Finally some new research shows 95% of hospitalised people have preexisting conditions (the majority of which are related to bad diets incl following the recommended low fat diet 😉 with highly processed carbs/sugar loaded foods)

    Among 4,899,447 hospitalized patients in PHD-SR, 540,667 (11.0%) patients met the study inclusion criteria for COVID-19 (Table 1). Of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, 94.9% had at least 1 documented underlying CCSR condition, 249,522 (46.2%) had an ICU admission, 76,680 (14.2%) received IMV, and 80,174 (14.8%) died. The study sample included 261,078 (48.3%) female patients, 94,670 (17.5%) non-Hispanic Black patients, and 93,171 (17.2%) Hispanic or Latino patients. The median age was 66 years, and the most common insurance types were Medicare (292,978 [54.2%]) and commercial (130,995 [24.2%]). The 863 hospitals visited by patients included in the study were distributed across all US Census regions.

    We found 18 underlying CCSR categories with a frequency of 10.0% or more in the sample; the most common were essential hypertension (272,591 [50.4%]), disorders of lipid metabolism (267,057 [49.4%]; top ICD-10-CM code was hyperlipidemia), obesity (178,153 [33.0%]), diabetes with complication (171,727 [31.8%]), and coronary atherosclerosis and other heart disease (134,839 [24.9%])

    https://www.cdc.gov/pcd/issues/2021/21_0123.htm

    • Throughout the entire pandemic I have not heard any of our chief medical officers say ANYTHING about eating healthy, exercising regularly and getting sunlight and fresh air to help to greatly reduce the effects of covid. NOTHING.

      • Exactly! But no money in it I guess for doctors & pollies. It’s a major failing, had high vit D (& maybe some other vits & minerals been promoted) it would likely have had a bigger impact than all the letter measures taken. Combined with at risk people changing their diet, given it has being proven that inflammatory markers for things like cardiovascular health improves within 2wks on some diets or intermittent fasting, we could have been munch healthier, happier & not licked down (if old & vulnerable also vaccinated). When they look back public health bodies will realise what a mistake & missed opportunity it was.

      • That would be too practical Matchbox. Better to have sickly looking CHOs at the podium talking nonsense at 11am daily.
        16 months into this a significant portion of the overweight population could have lost significant pounds, instead encouraged, indeed given excuses to sit at home eating Cheetos.
        Talk about the law of unintended consequences.

      • Oh because it would be considered “fat shaming” to our cancel culture leftist morons. Everyone’s equal.. not to a virus they’re not. Wake up call to the left this whole virus thing and a bs exposing one to the right.

      • mild colonialMEMBER

        I’ve been shocked there hasn’t been a worldwide call to fast during quarantine. I’m being facetious (although as an IFer I did a five day fast in quarantine).

        • Have been doing the 16:8 IF for a number of years. Genetic pre-disposition to heart disease, blood pressure and diabetes even when super fit got me into it. Don’t eat until midday and have last meal before 8pm. I dont restrict calories. On every measurable objective using blood tests, it works.

    • Lord DudleyMEMBER

      Yeah! Kill the fatties! Kill ’em all! Too bad that’s about 60% of your population. And moralizing about it ain’t gonna help… losing weight for someone who has been overweight for many years is extremely difficult.

      But that won’t stop you from calling for their deaths, because you’re the average Australian, which means you’re a typical disgusting exceptionalist (aka I’m special and it doesn’t apply to me) narcissist psycho.

      • Considering the extreme measures taken to combat covid, a little targeted campaign to assist the most at risk with their health should have been an absolute minimum that sould have happened.

  7. I have a basic question re the removalists’ mother who passed away. Is police tape around any scene of a death standard process in NSW? Makes sense as they never know if it’s suspicious or not so soon after arriving, but wanted to confirm (and I saw an article showing the tape being removed on Monday).

    • Tape goes up for all crime scenes in general where you need to establish an exclusion zone. Not always necessary at every ‘suspicious’ death if you can control entry/exit to the scene.

  8. It really is a tale of two cities at the moment, the Eastern suburbs outbreak is almost over while the Western one rages. The only thing at moment is that there are elements in the west who are very much anti lockdown rules.

  9. The question needs to be asked if the cure is worse than the disease. Clearly it isn’t for the fat and old, but it may very well be for the young and fit who are more likely to be working in the service industry. Additionally >50% of children in Sydney live in apartments. That has to be pretty grim during the lockdown.

  10. “22 cases were in isolation for part of their infectious period. Forty-eight cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 17 cases remains under investigation.”

    So, political doublespeak aside, that’s 70 cases walking around infectious in the community at minimum, but more likely 87 because if the remaining 17 were in isolation at any point before 8pm last night, they’d have been in one of the other two categories.

    As far as I can tell, the “under investigation” cases from the day before are never publically cateogorised the next day, so it seems an easy way to artificially keep numbers low.

  11. reusachtigeMEMBER

    If you’re overweight or have any other co-morbids that getting fit will reduce and you still aren’t working hard to get fit you need to start accepting that you are going to have a very hard time with this ailment eventually. It’s just a matter of time.

    • Lord DudleyMEMBER

      Too right! Australia should start charging fatties an extra medicare premium. I mean, it’s only about 65% of the population, and I’m sure they’ll be fine with that.

      In fact, I’m pretty sure that if there were no fatties, the lockdowns wouldn’t be happening at all because COVID would have no negative impacts if there were no fatties. We should just charge them 100% of the lockdown costs.

      That sounds like a plan! Can all the anti fatty psychos and propagandists here lend their support? By blaming Australia’s 60+% fatty population for a historic failure to roll out vaccines in the worst pandemic in a century, I’m sure we can fix all the COVID problems in Australia.

      • reusachtigeMEMBER

        Yeah I totally agree but that’s not what I was saying. I was advising the unhealthy to work harder on themselves during this crisis to help minimise their chances of being expired by this, or worse still, retarded by it.

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