NSW records a record high 179 COVID cases

NSW Health has recorded a record high 179 locally acquired COVID cases over the past 24 hours:

Of these 172 locally acquired cases, 85 are linked to a known case or cluster – 66 are household contacts and 19 are close contacts – the source of infection for 87 cases is under investigation.

65 of these locally acquired cases are from South Western Sydney Local Health District (LHD), 54 are from Western Sydney LHD, 27 are from Sydney LHD, 12 are from Northern Sydney LHD, 11 are from South Eastern Sydney LHD.

There are currently 169 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 46 people in intensive care, 19 of whom require ventilation.

The next chart tracks NSW’s current outbreak with Victoria’s Winter-Spring outbreak last year:

New COVID infections

Australia’s two biggest COVID outbreaks compared.

If NSW follows Victoria’s trajectory, new virus cases won’t peak for another 12 days.

NSW now has over 2,100 active local COVID cases and are still a long way from peaking:

Active COVID cases

NSW still a long way from peaking.

Hopefully the weekend’s protests won’t worsen the situation.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

    • warmer weather should attenuate transmission a bit but it might be all too late then anyway.
      Remember we still have exponential growth, the current restrictions have lowered the exponent but you end up in the same place regardless, it just takes you longer to get there.

    • kierans777MEMBER

      NSW is learning that when you
      1. Ignore the exponential function and lock down too late
      2. Lock a city down without sufficient income support
      3. Have a government run by nutjobs who get their “news” from Sky News After Dark

      Then you have a ****show

      • Absolute BeachMEMBER

        “Australia is a lucky country run mainly by second rate people who share its luck. It lives on other people’s ideas, and, although its ordinary people are adaptable, most of its leaders (in all fields) so lack curiosity about the events that surround them that they are often taken by surprise.”
        I’ll just keep Donald’s quote ready to c&p until further notice. Please advise when we have some decent leaders- I’ll remove it from my clipboard.

  1. how can they be talking about reducing restrictions in certain areas when there are double digit cases acoss all the health districts.

    • must lower teh rates and open teh gates to death-stare grannies – that will surely fix teh thing!

      • Absolute BeachMEMBER

        Gold goes to Gary. Yep. That will fix thing. Oh and the ALP backing down on all possible policies until further notice. Winning Biggly

    • C'est de la folieMEMBER

      Earlier this year (January) I was chatting with a mate who is a journo in Dublin about Covid in Eire. He told me Ireland was looking at Stage V lockdowns. I asked ‘what is Stage V?’ and he replied ‘everyone stay in their house until we say otherwise, and the government will ensure everyone gets food, house by fookin house…..’

      Fortunately things didnt get that bad in Eire (though they went close). But I think Sydney will be looking at Stage V soon.

      • Funny you should say that. I have heard from two different sources including an Aussie expat based in the States that martial law will be implemented in NSW in August. Plans are apparently under way not just with the police and military but private security firms as well.

        • SnappedUpSavvyMEMBER

          the advice i’ve been given is that despite martial law open house inspections are still allowed – i actually went to one on saturday

        • That’s odd. I’ve heard from 4 different sources including an expat living in Swaziland that this is hogwash.

      • Mining BoganMEMBER

        I’d forgotten we were under a curfew in Vic.

        Maybe they don’t scar you for life.

        • TheLambKingMEMBER

          People (including Leith) screamed about this one. But where are you going to go? It helps track down who is not staying at home! It stops people ‘bubble hopping’ every night – popping round to different mates places via 2 hours in the Maccas carpark.

          • How dare they stop me doing my hours exercise at 3AM! YOuSE LEftY soYSHiLlsT ChUnTs ARe TryING To STeaL OUr ThREEdOMS.

            Meanwhile poor coloureds quietly enjoy indefinite detention for 8+ years and not a single shyt is given.

      • o/t – was it you that commented (months and months ago) on an industry restructure report of sorts that used activities rather than industry as a basis for reform? If so, do you recall the report or reference to the origin?

  2. Sheesh. This is pretty grim. I’d guess all of August lockdown as well unless we change our minds about such things …

    • FUDINTHENUDMEMBER

      Yup. And September. And more unless they make changes or suddenly magically get the majority vaccinated

    • TheLambKingMEMBER

      I’d guess all of August lockdown as well unless we change our minds about such things …

      Ha! If you change your minds and go harder you might be out by the end of September. If you don’t make any changes you are not getting out until you are at 80% vaccinations (Xmas)! What NSW is doing is not working. It is getting worse. NSW needs to do more – instead it is bringing regions out of lockdown!

  3. Immunisation, lockdown version 7.0
    Looking at life through the eyes of a vaccination hub
    Not meeting needs as a pastime activity
    The COVIDity of our city, our city

  4. Sydney needs a decisive Premier to make necessary but unpleasant decisions and to inspire and motivate (think Dan 2020), plus a ‘double ring of steel’ re SA and Vic – isolating contacts of contacts – but that would mean isolating 10s of thousands now they’ve lost control and is probably too late.

    Sad but I can’t see this ending without the military now. Hoping the other states can keep this out but as each day passes the threat to the whole country increases.

    What a vacillating drip glamorous Gladys has turned out to be 🙁

  5. Arthur Schopenhauer

    In today’s NSW presser there was a serious amount of denial:

    Reporter:

    Victoria is now coming out of lockdown. Have they now shown us up? Should we have gone down harder and faster? They’ve done two weeks, we’re here in week five, and with no sign of things slowing down.

    Berejiklian:

    Oh look, I think it’s important to note that every state has had its own course during the pandemic.

    Victoria is emerging out of its fifth lockdown, and I appreciate appreciate people want to make comparisons, but it’s also important to note that every state has had its own course. Every state has its own history of how they’re built with the pandemic.

    And it’s fair to say that until this point in time, we had our citizens, leading a relatively free, free life, as well as staying saf. But there’s no doubt the current challenge we have is a serious one.

    • Yeah what a turd. Saying we just got out of our 5th lockdown… as some sort of defense. 3rd lockdown only lasted a week. 4th came from SA and SHE is the cause of the 5th!

  6. FUDINTHENUDMEMBER

    It’s getting worse! Sydney will absoloutely be forced into heavier restrictions/proper lockdown in the coming months. What an absoloute turdnado.

  7. ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

    I hope I don’t get it before my Pfizer shot on the 9th.
    Ive just finished a job for another plumber mate in Granville.
    It was for a charity he looks after so I went there and replaced seized up shower taps with easy turn ones and replaced a constantly leaking basin mixer tap.
    Gave my self a good metho spray down after.
    That was my first and only job for the week so far.
    Going back home to lockdown now.

      • ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

        Still got about 700 cans from the last lockdown but Im diversifying this time into tins of sliced tuna in olive oil as well.
        None of that minced up cat food tuna though.
        Hopefully the contents weren’t caught to close to Fukushima.

        • greedypuppyMEMBER

          On the plus though it the contents came from Fukushima you know they are gonna have an extended shelf life and if we have power shortages you can probably read a good novel from the warm green glow

    • boomengineeringMEMBER

      Ermo, sad to hear work drying up. I’m enjoying the rest after 7 day weeks. Had a stainless balcony bracket to quote on ( pedantic client) so quoted over the top hoping not to get it. Said it had to look extra nice as it was always in full view , then said he wanted it powder coated. No jobs in sight except a cast iron grate to be welded (if he shows up).

      • ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

        No cosmetic work allowed boom.
        Im not doing any unnecessary work now and will only work within 20 mins of home for the emergency stuff until I get me second shot.
        So Fk it Im following up me grant/govie money today and tomorrow and start clearing out the Garage.

  8. NSW Labor should be sharpening their prosecutorial knives.

    I think the denizens of NSW have been willing to give her some leeway but that might be about to end, especially in the regions.

    As someone in NNSW with no cases, and who wishes to access QLD (though not for the Dees Suns game, like, ermagerd Goodwin, fix thing), can we please just have a ring around Sydney now?

    I’ll bet the good burghers of Wagga, Deniliquin, Hay and surrounds are mighty annoyed they’re excluded from the NSW VIc border bubble including apparently agriculture….

    Interestingly, some of my work t/cs are turning conversation to this topic and there is broad agreement Sydney should be locked down harder and be ringfenced from the rest of AU.

    • Ronin8317MEMBER

      Looking at how quickly the cases died at Orange after a short, hard lockdown, what Glady is doing is criminally stupid. Regional NSW should not have to lockdown because Glady refuse to lock down Sydney. And as long as she doesn’t lock Sydney down, the other states will stop all travel bubbles. (Like Victoria just did).

    • You should be right to get in to QLD, Swampy. There’s a ‘Border Bubble’ from the north from Clarence Valley.

      Meanwhile, we’re supposed to be going to Cairns in September to visit Mrs Hixtar’s family.
      We’ve had one case on the mid-north coast in Coffs Harbour with no further transmission from that. No detection in sewerage.
      I think the only chance of QLD opening up to regional NSW is if Sydney does the Stage 4 lockdown and a ring of steel.

    • macrofishMEMBER

      Here I was quietly giggling at the plight of Sydney and you ruin it by reminding me of Goodwins coaching.

  9. Jumping jack flash

    Time for more JobKeeper I think. Should fix thing.

    This time do it right Scomo and Joshy. Communicate succinctly to businesses, who are still in wage-theft “mode” that they need to change their thinking and start distributing the cash to their workers. Any excuse will do. Just leave some wads lying around the lunch room, it’ll end up where it needs to be.

    Maybe offer business owners some crash courses in basic economics. It won’t take long. I’ll start: People, buying your stuff, creates sales, creates revenue, creates profit. If you remove people’s ability to buy stuff by stealing their wages, then who is going to buy your stuff? The tooth fairy?

    Perhaps business owners are personally going to buy all the stuff with the stolen wages? It can’t happen. It doesn’t happen that way. 2019 was proof enough of that.

  10. If I read it correctly, CDC research estimates that only 1 in every 4.3 cases are actually reported (detected?), so the numbers may be closer to 770. Meh! Counting and panicking about ‘cases’ is complete rubbish and based on what we see with all the State pollies and bureaucrats doing ‘an Engadine Maccas’ at every press conference will be the death of this country as we know it!

  11. BornwildMEMBER

    I fear NSW will announce easing of restrictions in areas of Sydney with no or limited cases but much harsher restrictions on areas with high COVID areas. It will likely trigger more protests and mayhem in Sydney.

    Maybe let it rip might not be a dumb idea for Sydney. Listening to Gladys and Brad Hazzard in the last few days – they sound defeated!!!

    • Easing restricitons in some parts of Sydney and not others with a virus that is now out of control is a recipe for disaster. You can do it to an extent if it’s under control and contact tracing can keep on top of it (like they did with the Northern Suburbs outbreak at Christmas), but not now. There are at least 600 cases that are currently unlinked to a known source with NSW Health chasing their tails. The virus doesn’t know what an LGA is. Plus the civil unrest in Western Sydney will make last weekend’s protest look like a picnic in the park.

    • Ronin8317MEMBER

      Only if you can stop people moving between LGA, but nobody is enforcing that. If it’s done right from the start, we won’t be in such a mess right now.

  12. Charles MartinMEMBER

    Does anyone know what they use for a deep clean when those blokes go in covered head to toe with the spray guns?
    Is it something special or off the shelf from Bunnings?

    • The Travelling Phantom

      I run a business in that kind of service, we use hospital grade disinfectants, sourced locally , there are 2 Australian companies that produce world-class products.
      Bleach where safe to be used.
      Every surface to be washed wiped and dried.
      What ever chemical used it has to stay on surface for 4 minutes minimum