NSW records 170 new COVID infections

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NSW Health has reported another 170 new COVID infections over the past 24 hours:

Sixty-five cases were in isolation throughout their infectious period and ten cases were in isolation for part of their infectious period. Forty-two cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 53 cases remains under investigation.

There are currently 187 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 58 people in intensive care, 24 of whom require ventilation.

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The next chart plots NSW’s daily case numbers against Victoria’s Winter-Spring outbreak last year, which saw Melbourne locked-down for 14 consecutive weeks:

New COVID cases

Australia’s two biggest COVID outbreaks compared.

If Victoria’s trajectory was replicated in NSW, daily cases would not peak for another nine days.

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NSW’s active COVID cases are approaching 2,700 and are still well away from peaking:

Active COVID cases

Yet to peak.

At this rate, NSW probably won’t come out of lockdown until mid-September.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.