NSW COVID cases surge by 110

NSW Health has just reported another 110 new local COVID cases over the past 24 hours:

Of these locally acquired cases, 54 are linked to a known case or cluster – 40 are household contacts and 14 are close contacts – and the source of infection for 56 cases is under investigation.

Thirty-seven cases were in isolation throughout their infectious period and 17 cases were in isolation for part of their infectious period. Forty-three cases were infectious in the community, and the isolation status of 13 cases remains under investigation.

There are currently 106 COVID-19 cases admitted to hospital, with 23 people in intensive care, 11 of whom require ventilation.

For comparative purposes, the next chart plots NSW’s daily case numbers against Victoria’s Winter-Spring outbreak last year, which saw Melbourne locked-down for 14 consecutive weeks:

NSW COVID infections

Australia’s two biggest outbreaks compared.

NSW now has more than 1300 active infections. Below shows how NSW is tracking against Victoria’s outbreak last year:

NSW active COVID cases

NSW still a long way from peaking.

Australia’s COVID winter of discontent continues…

Unconventional Economist

Comments

  1. Ronin8317MEMBER

    The NSW COVID website still haven’t updated Campsie, or any of the ‘new area of concern’ like Toonagabbie. Maybe that’s why so many people are out in the community while infectious : it’s because ‘gold standard’ contact tracing can no longer keep up.

    • NSW Health have said they won’t publish locations of concern unless they are unable to trace people who were potentially exposed or if there has been confirmed spread.

      • Delta virus version = 1,000 viral load of original.
        8th July 2021 report link & excerpt below.

        Now have an open mind please..

        This is hypothetical or ‘what if question’, not a statement,

        Everyone is led to believe that this Delta strain is an an Indian evolved variant of the original Chinese Covid-19 .

        However we also know from US embassy cables & alerts to the Obama Biden administration were that China CCP Wuhan Labs had over 1,150 humanized and highly lethal virus variants stockpiled – and that was back in 2014-2016.

        (The Obama Biden Fauci decision in 2014 after the US ban on US virus gain of function & decision to outsource virus gain of function via the US NIH / EcoHealth Alliance to Wuhan labs China)..
        …resulted in over 1,150 humanized & lethal virus variations stockpiled -( US embassy cables warnings & alerts to the Obama Biden administration).

        Now is it possible that China – seeing the success of the possible accidental release of the Covid-19 virus in Wuhan wreaking havoc in the west & now their enemies such as India.
        Has resulted in China now releasing an updated and more effective / virulent strain into India?
        And that China / Sinovaccine took that into account whereas the western vaccines did not.

        “China’s top epidemiologist Zhong Nanshan said on June 28 that Chinese vaccines are effective against the Delta COVID-19 variant first detected in India, urging more people to get vaccinated”. *
        *Note – the effectiveness is disputed by other vaccine makers but simple facts are China is very well vaccinated against Delta virus death rates versus say India or Australia..
        China is vaccinating 30 million a day, has 102 vaccines administered per 100 people & will be 100% fully vaccinated in 2 or 3 months.
        So why wouldn’t China leverage that key advantage?

        And keep releasing updated & more virulent versions of the virus into their unvaccinated enemies to gain political and economic advantage?

        -/-

        Article on 1,000 virus load – excerpt.

        “The delta variant is the most contagious version of the coronavirus worldwide. It spreads about two to three times faster than the original version of the virus, and it’s currently dominating the outbreak in the United States.

        A new study, published online Wednesday, sheds light on why. It finds that the variant grows more rapidly inside people’s respiratory tracts and to much higher levels, researchers at the Guangdong Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention reported.

        On average, people infected with the delta variant had about 1,000 times more copies of the virus in their respiratory tracts than those infected with the original strain of the coronavirus, the study reported.

        In addition, after someone catches the delta variant, the person likely becomes infectious sooner. On average, it took about four days for the delta variant to reach detectable levels inside a person, compared with six days for the original coronavirus variant.”

        Full article
        https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2021/07/08/1013794996/why-the-delta-variant-is-so-contagious-a-new-study-sheds-light

  2. 110 of 83,000k test is not bad. Great to see so many tests done in one day. I think that might be a new record.
    That’s a 0.13% positive rate or 99.87% chance of getting a negative result from those tested.

    In the state of NSW, total active cases as a percentage of population is 0.016% positive rate or 99.984% negative.

    • My concern with testing numbers is they dont tell us very much.

      Society is full of hypochondriacs who may be going all the time for tests, skewing the numbers. Those people who cannot afford to be sick or are general hard arses wont bother getting tested no matter how bad they feel.

      In an ideal world we would be looking at factors which did not rely so much on people doing the right thing. Simple stuff such as locking down suburbs which show viral loads in sewerage. Reporting by others (dob in lines) for those who look/act sick, etc.

    • C.M.BurnsMEMBER

      the number of infectious in the community # is rising. Which is the opposite of under control. And as Savvy pointed out above, the numbers from all those families celebrating Eid won’t show up in the stats for another 5-10 days from now.

      • Meanwhile in “Commie” land:
        Of the 22 locally-acquired cases reported, all are linked to the current outbreaks.

        But you see what you wanna see, Reus.

        • C.M.BurnsMEMBER

          was that for me, or Reus ?

          Also, where did that quote come from ? there was 110 cases (not 22) and the source of 56 cases is still under investigation. translation, they are at the moment, not linked.

          • darklydrawlMEMBER

            I believe the “22” refers to the VIC Covid cases today (thus the “commie land” reference) and the OP was making the point that VIC seems to be in a better position than NSW at present (despite Gladys saying it’s all under control, “gold standard!”, nobody panic, nothing to see here et al) – although I cannot speak for DSS and might be mistaken.

          • C.M.BurnsMEMBER

            thanks darkly. I hadn’t read the VIC post and also missed the ‘commieland’ reference. 🤦🏻‍♂️

    • Add another 17 who were in the community for part of their infectious period plus 13 which remain under investigation.

      So, 60 infectious in the community at least. Potentially 73 – out of 110.

      Triple figures for the next week at least I reckon.

  3. I had a test in July and took about 36 hours to get the results back. I’ve heard it is blowing out to taking 3+ days with all this testing.
    One thing we need is a quicker diagnostic test – as a lot of folks can’t wait for 3+ days for a result. 36 hours was already painful as you can’t leave the house whilst waiting for result. Personally I wouldn’t be getting tested at the moment given the wait – I am sure they’d be many like me ….

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