It’s official: Australia has lost 74k migrants during pandemic

It’s official. Australia has lost 73,900 migrants since the start of the coronavirus pandemic, according to Q4 population data released yesterday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS):

Quarterly net overseas migration

Three consecutive quarters of negative NOM.

As shown above, Australia has recorded three consecutive quarters of negative net overseas migration (NOM), specifically:

  • -7,800 in Q2 2020
  • -41,200 in Q3 2020
  • -24,900 in Q4 2020

All major jurisdictions experienced negative NOM over these three quarters, as illustrated below. Victoria (-40,938) has been hardest hit:

Net overseas migration by state

Victoria has been hit hardest by the loss of migrants.

Because of the loss of migrants, the nation’s population only grew by 23,600 over the last three quarters of 2020:

Quarterly population growth

Big slowdown in population growth.

Over the same three quarter period, Victoria lost 30,700 people whereas the other major states all gained population:

Population growth by state

Victoria loses lots of people.

The latest federal budget projected negative NOM of -96,600 in 2020-21 and -77,400 in 2021-22:

Budget NOM projections

The federal budget projected negative NOM in 2020-21 and 2021-22.

The 2020-21 projection is likely to be exceeded based on these figures.

Unconventional Economist


    • If so many have left why do house prices keep going up, it’s truly a fixed system. And when immigrants come pouring back in property will rise even more.

  1. Thieving politicians will make that up in 3 months once the ponzi imigration scam gets restarted.

  2. Leith, can you take a photo of McDonald’s asking for staff and post it here. We might not see that ever again.

  3. Did the sky fall in? Nope. We shovelled mountains of dirt. We still had “jobs and growth”. Rising house prices.

    But you can’t tell LibLab and Treasury – they hate lifting wages or living standards. They’re sending us straight back to Howard-Rudd “Big Australia” – the zombie Treasury policy that can never die.

  4. reusachtigeMEMBER

    This is why we must open our borders immediately! Now that there are multiple vaccines that have proven to be safe and effective there is no excuse to keep acting like chicken sh1ts down here.

    • ErmingtonPlumbingMEMBER

      I agree!
      This lowering of numbers could result in the economic disaster of my house price falling below 1.5 million!
      All my retirement plans are based on it appreciating to at least 4 million by the time im 67. (Late 2030s)
      How am I going to achieve this without proper house price pumping immigration!
      The time to revolt is NOW!

      • I’m with the old bugger on this too. It’s time to let it rip.

        Let’s see if we can get to 40m by 2040.

        It wouldn’t be too hard to just double third world net immigration to 400K p.a. as we were already over halfway there before this damn virus hit.

        Where there’s a will there’s a way. Just look at Reusa.

  5. surfbeach2536

    Is that why Melbourne overtook both Sydney and Brisbane in the worlds most livable cities index?

    • Charles MartinMEMBER

      nah, Melbs topped the worlds most livable cities index because of its increasing vibrancy, traffic, house prices and signing up to the Belt Road thing that Scummo fvcked up for them.

  6. Display NameMEMBER

    This is great news. GDP per capita might increase. Living standards might go up. The lived experience in our major cities might stop being degraded.

  7. Negative migration movements and Perth has moved from five years of rental surplus to shortages. Something doesn’t add up.

    • Frank DrebinMEMBER

      500k expats have apparently returned in the last 12 months.

      Certainly true amongst my coeterie of friends and family

  8. Do these numbers factor in returning Australians? Do those people count as essentially never having left Oz if they’ve kept their citizenship?

  9. Just waiting on mikemb to give us the detailed numbers as to where the slum clearance is going.