How the Fed hawked up

Advertisement

Goldman with the note:

The FOMC left the funds rate target range unchanged at 0–0.25% at the June meeting, and raised the IOER and RRP rates by 5bp. The median projected path for the policy rate in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) increased to show two hikes by 2023, despite almost no change in the individual 2023 core inflation projections. We interpret this to mean that the FOMC sees the 2021 inflation overshoot, which will bring the average inflation rate since the recession began above 2%, as largely sufficient to accomplish its averaging goal, which lowers the inflation bar for eventual rate hikes.

MAIN POINTS:

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.