The “buy value” crowded trade is in trouble

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Readers will recall that I’ve been tracking the contest between three market narratives for months:

  • Good news is bad news: meaning reopening and ongoing fiscal stimulus has triggered inflation leading to a market shock.
  • Bad is good news: meaning the inflation pop is temporary and ongoing low yields will deliver higher values yet.
  • Good news is good news: meaning reopening and fiscal-led growth will lift inflation a little but lowflation will continue to support markets.

The leading bank for the first case has been BofA and doubts are creeping in:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.