Charting Australian property’s COVID rebound

The Australian property market continues to power out of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Following a 2.6% decline in dwelling values across the five major capital city markets between 15 March (the unofficial start of the pandemic) and 13 October 2020 (the bottom), values have since risen by 9.6%. Accordingly, dwelling values across the five major markets are now sitting 6.7% above their pre-COVID level, according to CoreLogic.

Below is a chart tracking dwelling value changes across Australia’s five major markets since the beginning of the pandemic to 3 May 2021:

Australian dwelling values since COVID

All of Australia’s major capital city markets have rebounded strongly from COVID.

And below are the key price changes across each major capital city market.

Sydney:

Sydney dwelling values initially fell 2.1%, bottoming on 13 October 2020.

Since then, Sydney values have rebounded a whopping 11.0% to be 8.6% higher than the pre-COVID level on 15 March 2020.

Melbourne:

Melbourne dwelling values initially fell very sharply, declining 5.9% to 18 October 2020.

Values have since rebounded strongly, rising 8.4% to be 2.0% higher than the pre-COVID level.

Brisbane:

Brisbane only experienced a moderate 0.3% decline in dwelling values, bottoming on 16 August 2020.

Since then, Brisbane values have surged 10.8% to be 10.5% above their pre-COVID level.

Perth:

Perth values initially declined 2.0%, bottoming on 22 August 2020.

Perth values have risen 9.6% from their low to be 7.3% above their pre-COVID level.

Adelaide:

Adelaide dwelling values did not suffer any value decline during the initial stages of the COVID pandemic. Instead, values have risen 10.9% from their pre-COVID level on 15 March 2020.

What makes this housing boom so remarkable is that it is universal. All capital city markets, in addition to every state region, have experienced strong price rebounds out of COVID:

CoreLogic April dwelling value results

Every capital city and regional market has rebounded strongly out of COVID.

In fact, this is the first synchronised housing boom since the early 2000s, which followed the deregulation of the financial system and the sharp reduction in mortgage rates.

Unconventional Economist
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Comments

  1. Jumping jack flash

    When you gift 40K of super to every household it makes perfect sense.
    If they made first homebuyer grants not just for first homebuyers, and doubled them, it would have a similar effect.

    Brisbane and Adelaide are most likely to have houses where 40K would approach 5 – 20% for an outright deposit.
    A lag of 6 months is also pretty obvious looking at the chart.

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