Sydney property smashes more records

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CoreLogic’s March dwelling value results recorded a whopping 3.7% monthly rise in Sydney home values, which was the strongest monthly result since August 1988:

Sydney monthly dwelling value growth

Sydney recorded the strongest monthly growth in nearly 33 years in March 2021.

As of yesterday (i.e. 6 April 2021), Sydney’s quarterly dwelling value growth was tracking at an insane 7.1%, which is the strongest quarterly growth since October 1988:

Sydney quarterly dwelling value growth

Sydney’s quarterly dwelling value growth (7.1%) is the strongest in more than 32 years.

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Thus, the last time Sydney’s property market was this strong was in Australia’s bicentenary year, when Kylie Minogue’s debut hit Loco-Motion was topping the global charts.

The strength of Sydney’s property market is reflected in the city’s auction clearance rate, which has remained above 80% for eight consecutive weeks:

Sydney auctions

Sydney’s auction market has gathered steam, with clearances well above 80%.

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New mortgage finance commitments are also running hot, reflecting the strong demand for Sydney property:

Sydney mortgages vs dwelling value growth

Sydney’s mortgage demand has gone vertical.

We’ll know that prices are about to slow when Sydney’s auction clearance rate and mortgage growth starts to turn down.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.