Macro Morning

Advertisement

Expectations of a more accomodative Federal Reserve later in the trading week kept Wall Street up at first overnight before late selling saw a mixed result. The latest durable goods orders disappointed to the downside, adding to the slight aversion to risk taking with the German IFO survey equally dampening spirits with a less than stellar result. In currency world, USD was largely unchanged overall but remains weak against Euro and Yen with bond markets also range trading without much effect. Commodity markets had more spunk, particularly iron ore and agricultural goods, with copper hitting a ten year high and gold lifting slightly.

Bitcoin is being Bitcoin with a big gapdown event to start the week that then turned into a 11% plus rally within 12 hours before “stabilising” at the $53K level this morning. It’s still under a lot of stress here with four hourly ATR resistance at closer to the $55K level not yet cleared so we could see another selloff today:

Looking at share markets in Asia from yesterday’s session where Chinese markets took the biggest hits with the Shanghai Composite falling nearly 0.9% to 3441 points while the Hang Seng Index fell back 0.4% to close just below 29000 points. Futures are suggesting another staid open this morning with this market struggling to get out of its funk and unable to make any big move above 29000 points to at least return to the March highs. The technical pattern and positive daily momentum do point to a possible bottom here – the key neckline being the 29500 point ATR daily resistance level, but it better do it quickly:

Advertisement

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe