China credit impulse sags

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The little China financial crisis we have been tracking shows signs of a little easing as we enter a new week:

  • Huarong bonds recovered some ground Friday after the financial regulator declared liquidity plentiful.
  • While well short of any guarantee, some analysts expected that this is a turning point for the beleaguered debt manager.

My own view is that that rather misses the point. Huarong is as much a symptom as it is the cause of where the Chinese economy is headed. We need to watch the wider Chinese junk bond market to understand that:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.