Economists: Wage growth will continue to fall

Advertisement

Fairfax’s survey of 22 well-known economists shows that most believe that real wages will fall over the coming two years, despite the economy’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.

They forecast that wage growth will fall further to 1.2% this year before lifting to 1.6% in 2022.

However, this growth will be below inflation, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) expected to come in around 1.7% over the next 12 months, thereby sending real wage growth backwards.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.