Used-car boom about to go bust?

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Via Moody’s:

Used-Vehicle Price Growth Hits the Brakes but Doesn’t Come to a Complete Stop

Australian used-vehicle prices reached yet another all-time high in November. According to the Datium Insights-Moody’s Analytics Price Index, wholesale used-vehicle prices are 33% above where they were at this point last year. Price growth has slowed considerably since the historic jump in values began in May. From May through August, prices rose anywhere from 6% to 11% on a monthly basis. In November prices rose at below 1% month over month, less than half the rate of any month since May. In fact, prices fell slightly across the widely popular truck/ute/SUV segment in November.

Key points from the attached report are as follows –

  • Price growth slowed considerably in November, rising less than 1% month over month.
  • Australian used-vehicle prices hit yet another all-time high in November, reaching 33% higher than prices in 2019.
  • Wholesale used-vehicle prices fell slightly across the widely popular truck/ute/SUV segment in November, but rose in the passenger car segment.
  • With COVID-19 transmission remaining in check public transportation routes searched picked up, increasing by almost 30% in November.

CHART: Prices Inch Higher in November

Datium Insights-Moody’s Analytics Price Index, 2010=100, SA

Bust next as equity mate liberates new car sales?

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.