You can’t stop the iron ore juggernaut with spot Tianjin prices up nearly 8% while Dalian iron ore futures jumped nearly 10% as rebar futures also soared upwards on Monday trade:
This is supposedly due to the Friday news of another landslide at a Vale mine in Brazil, which resulted in the death of one person, while coking coal price lifted again due to another round of price increases in China.
The Chinese look set to produce more than 1 billion tonnes of steel for calendar year 2020 – via Agsteel:
Having bounced back robustly this year from severe coronavirus lockdowns in Q1, China is on track to top 1 billion tons of steel production by the end of 2020, beating 2019’s 996.3 million tons despite steel-consuming industries suffering a lockdown.
Indeed China is the only major producing country to have increased output this year, up 5.6% at the end of October. Europe, North America, Japan, South Korea, and India are all down over the year cumulatively, leading to a global 1.9% reduction.
Nobody can stop the music…..
- Macro Afternoon - April 1, 2021
- Macro Morning - April 1, 2021
- Macro Afternoon - March 31, 2021
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One of the less well-understood dimensions of
“If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”
Herbert Stein, 1986
When Sisyphus can no longer push the rock toward the top of the mountain, things will sour in China for, roughly, forever. Just ask DLS!
How long until China discovers they need Aussie coking coal to make steel from all this iron-ore?
Dave, did you hear about this?
https://www.afr.com/companies/mining/aussie-companies-stripped-of-iron-ore-projects-in-africa-20201221-p56pck
Dave’s on holidays!
Dave’s not here, man
Have you got the stuff?
Cheech: Hey man, give me a sip.
Chong: Okay…
Cheech: Hey, that’s pee!
Chong: I know. It’s for my probation officer.
Cheech: Oh. Does he drink pee?
Its me…..Dave…..open up I got the stuff……..
Hopefully not in Sydney!
Ha! Sorry! I presumed and skim-read 😛
Corruption write large there, no surprise given the countries involved. China has already decided they will stop Australian iron ore to crush us and make us the eternal example to any other nation that would dare stand up for their own interests instead of those of Xi’s CCP. Every day that we do not adjust our economic model will make it more likely Xi wins as we end in a heap as just another failed southern hemisphere state
EZFKA has an economic model?!
Massive boost to the ToT, merchandise trade, goods and current account balances and nominal GDP., even if it proves temporary.
China is just boosting the steel production as they know the Chinese New Year super spreader event is coming soon. Extra steel for welding residents into their apartments all adds to GDP.