How bad is the US virus? Bad:
It looks no better smoothed:
Where there has been some improvement is the mortality rates:
Hospitalisations have fallen as a ratio of cases versus both first and second waves. Deaths lag by a month so that ratio is likely to bottom here and begin to rise again.
There has been some improvement thanks to refined treatments and younger patients. But, despite the declining ratios, the pandemic is so out of control now that hospitalisations and deaths are climbing as well. Like Europe, it will not be long before the former reaches critical mass for capacity and the mortality ratio will accelerate.
More US lockdowns (likely localised) are inevitable.