Rampant AUD refills ASX bath of blood

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The Australian dollar is down sharply this morning after last night’s leap:

Bonds are bid except way out past the RBA’s QE horizon:

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XJO is off sharply:

Big Iron is mixed:

Big Gas bashed:

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Big Gold still can’t break the corrective trend:

Big Banks have reversed the recent gains:

US futures are weak. Also, for the past few months, as RBA QE has gained momentum and the AUD has fallen, the ASX has turned negatively-correlated to the currency after running together through the post-COVID rebound:

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Markets may have reached the conclusion that the Aussie economy, and profits, can’t take a higher currency without material damage.

If so, they’d be right. Australia already has the weakest profits recovery on deck anywhere:

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K-Recovery Countries

And that number is boosted by New Zealand.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.