Property investment lending points to further price falls

APRA has released its August lending data which we use to track growth trends in investor loans for property. After a big monthly spike in June as the economy reopened, July and August have both disappointed. Perhaps June was pent-up demand and August will certainly be hit by the Melbourne shock.

Monthly growth for the big eight lenders was precisely zero:

ANZ is throwing out the credit while WBC and NAB are retrenching. CBA is in between.

Annual growth is still falling 1.6%:

The stock of specufestor loans is flat:

Finally, Mad Macquarie keeps the spigot wide open:

There are no property gains in this data. Further falls, actually.

David Llewellyn-Smith

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