ASX bath of blood misreads Japanification

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The forex market has the Depressionberg deflation budget spot on:

So does the bond market:

But the ASX bath of blood has it wrong:

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Nor is the rise driven by the sectors that it should be, that will benefit from the lower AUD. It’s not Big Iron:

Nor Big Gas:

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Nor Big Gold:

It’s Big Banks that are up, on broker upgrades:

Yet there is nothing bullish about a deflationary shock budget that drives the central bank ever deeper into unconventional policy tools below zero that destroy bank margins a’la Japan and Europe.

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Absolutely nothing.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.