Victoria’s path out of lockdown enters fog

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At the Herald Sun today:

Melbourne’s stage four lockdown would be extended for a fortnight with limited tweaks but no clear timeline for many businesses to reopen, according to top-secret leaked documents outlining the government’s draft plans to ease restrictions.

Versus just now, at the ABC:

Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews says a proposal from the state’s health department recommending stage 4 restrictions stay in place for an extra two weeks is “out of date” and has “no status”.

The ABC understands the proposal, drafted by the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS), has not gone to the state’s coronavirus crisis council.

Mr Andrews said the proposal, published by the Herald Sun newspaper, was no longer current.

“The documents that have been the subject of a lot of interest over these last few hours are out of date and have no status,” he told a press conference this morning.

“We will, on Sunday, give people a clear roadmap with as much detail and as much certainty as we can possibly provide.

“It won’t be guided simply by dates on the calendar though, it will be guided by the science and the data. It will be guided by how many cases there are in Victoria and the types of cases.

“There is an enormous amount of modelling going on at the moment, that does take quite some time — literally thousands of scenarios are run through various computers and processes.”

“Modelling”. Because bureaucracies do that so well.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.