A couple of charts today make the point. Real interest rates have room to fall further:
Gold ETF flows are still very small:
AUM proportions dedicated to gold are still WAY down versus previous peaks:
Probably the best chart of all, DXY is still very high:
The lows of the GFC period are 24% below. I see no reason why DXY will not return there as the virus-hampered recovery takes years. Especially under a Biden Administration that will eschew Trump’s tariffs.
The last DXY bear market from 2002 to 2011 sank 42%. Gold rose 700% over that period.
It takes zero imagination to see gold moving to $3000 from here if DXY falls 20%, let alone further.