Via Shane Oliver:
Share markets have had a spectacular rebound from their March lows. The rebound has been led by the US share market which is up 52% and has just risen above its February record high, making it the fastest ever recovery after a 30% or more fall. Other share markets have lagged but are still well up from their lows. This includes the Australian share market, which recently rose to its highest level since early March.
A common concern remains that the rebound is irrational. How can shares be so strong when June quarter GDP collapsed – by an average of -10% in developed countries and an estimated -7% in Australia – and coronavirus continues to reap havoc?